Marist Poll: Clinton lead shrinking; Bush/Christie lead for GOP nomination

Marist Poll taken 8/4-8/7 has Jeb Bush and Chris Christie leading for the Republican nomination at 13% followed closely by Ted Cruz, Paul Ryan, and Marco Rubio.  Here’s the full results:

Choice of Republicans and Republican Leaning independents:
Jeb Bush         13%
Chris Christie 13%
Ted Cruz         10%
Paul Ryan           9%
Marco Rubio   9%
Rick Perry   7%
Rand Paul           7%
Scott Walker   4%
Rick Santorum   3%
Bobby Jindal   2%

The poll also shows Hillary Clinton leading over the Republican candidates but that lead has shrunk significantly from the April poll.  Christie, Bush, and Paul are all now within 7% of Clinton.  They were all double digits behind her in April.  Here’s the comparision:

For full poll click here

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 933

Alaska Poll Palin in 6th place for Republican nomination with Clinton beating her head to head

A PPP Poll of Alaskan voters showed Ted Cruz and Rand Paul in the lead for the Republican nomination ahead of the state’s former governor, Sarah Palin.  Here are the full results:

Ted Cruz ………………………………………………… 16%
Rand Paul ………………………………………………. 15%
Mike Huckabee ……………………………………….. 14%
Jeb Bush………………………………………………… 12%
Chris Christie ………………………………………….. 12%
Sarah Palin …………………………………………….. 11%
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 7%
Paul Ryan ………………………………………………. 6%
Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 5%
Someone else / Not sure ………………………….. 4%

The same poll also asked the voters about head to head matchups of Republican candidates over Hillary Clinton:

Rand Paul wins 50/36
Jeb Bush wins 47/38
Mike Huckabee wins 47/39
Chris Christie wins 45/34
Sarah Palin loses 36/55

The fact that most Republican candidates would defeat Clinton in Alaska is not surprising: the state voted heavily Republican in 2012 as Romney won the state 55% to 41%.

For full poll click here

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds




Views – 883

Favorability Changes for Top Candidates

An AP-GfK Poll measured the favorable and unfavorable ratings of candidates July 24-28.  It also had the same ratings for a poll taken March 20-24.  Here are some of the findings:

– It’s clear who the voters are most familiar with:  Hillary Clinton has both the highest favorable rating at 48 and the highest unfavorable rating at 42.  Most importantly she has the highest net favorable at +6.

Rick Perry and Ted Cruz showed the biggest improvements in their net rating but both remain at -8 favorability.  Rick Perry raised his favorable by 8 points and his net by 5. Ted Cruz raised his favorable by 4 while not gaining any unfavorable.

Chris Christie and Joe Biden join Hillary Clinton as the only candidates with more than a 40 unfavorable, however unlike Clinton, they don’t have the high favorable to offset it, leading them to have the two lowest net ratings.

Elizabeth Warren has raised her profile, and that has meant a increase of 6 in both favorable and unfavorable meaning her net stayed the same at -1. Along with Scott Walker, Warren remains one of the least known candidates.

Here’s the comparisons

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 961

News and Odds about the Presidential Elections