Category Archives: Zuckerberg 2020

Updated Election Odds: Trump Steady at Top; Warren up on Senate Speech; Zuckerberg Shoots up the List; Ryan Falls a Spot

Donald Trump continued to be fairly steady at the top.  His payout has ranged between 2.4x and 2.5x in each of the last 8 weeks.  He has seen his probability go down a little bit. It is at its lowest in the last 5 weeks at 25.5%.  He peaked at 26.9% five weeks ago.

It looks like Elizabeth Warren made the most of her being silenced on the Senate floor.  She remains in 3rd overall , but her payout dropped from 10.7X the prior week to 9.8X.  Her probability is now at 6.6% but remains behind Mike Pence’s 7.4% for second place.

Paul Ryan took a little hit with his payout moving from 26.4X to 26.9X.  That allowed Bernie Sanders to hop over him for 7th place.

The big mover on the week, and of the last 3 weeks has been Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg.  Four weeks ago, Zuckerberg was in 45th place with a payout of 107.3X.  Reports started coming out about the possibility of him running.   He immediately shot up to 32nd place with a payout of 80X.  This week he was up once again now to 19th place with the payout decreasing to just 54.2X.

Here are the full odds:

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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