The trend for the top candidates remained the same as last week:

Hillary Clinton’s odds improved once again now to 41.7% up 0.3% as it’s becoming less and less likely that she will face any real challenge for the nomination. This is the highest she has been since August.

Jeb Bush continues to be in second but is losing his lead.  He has declined for four straight weeks and is currently at 11.0%.

Bush’s loss is Rubio’s gain.  Rubio has improved the last 3 weeks and is now in 3rd at 5.4%.  He has closed the gap with Bush from 7.6% to 5.6%.

The biggest mover of the week was John Kasich, as he starts making noise about the possibility of running.  He improves from 0.8% last week to 1.3% this week.  Over the last two weeks he has improved from 34th place to 10th place.

Elizabeth Warren and Chris Christie continue their free fall in odds but maintain their positions in the top 10.  Elizabeth Warren has declined the last five weeks and is now at 2.1%.  She is still in 6th place.  Chris Christie has declined the last 13 weeks and is now at 1.7%, half of where he was earlier.  He is still in 7th place.

Mitt Romney continues to decline as people realize he will not change his mind.  He is now at 1.1% and falls out of the top 10 to 12th place for the first time.

Bernie Sanders becomes only the second Democrat to announce his candidacy and is now in 42nd place at 0.5%.

Here’s a full list of the odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1076

Hillary Clinton continues climb up 0.3% to 41.4%. That is the 5th straight week she has increased her odds.  The increase comes at the expense of other Democratic candidates as the overall odds of the Democrats keeping control of the White House remained at 56.5%.

The biggest drop for the Democrats came from Elizabeth Warren who lost 0.1% but is still the top contender to Clinton at 2.2%, comfortable in 6th place overall.

On the Republican side Jeb Bush’s odds declined by 0.2% to 11.2%.  That is the 3rd straight decline for Bush.  He remains comfortably in 2nd place.

Marco Rubio has been closing that gap on him.  Rubio was up 0.5% to 5.2%.  He has cut the gap by 1.6% over the last 3 weeks.  He is  the solid # 3 overall.

John Kasich was the other big mover of the week.  He moved from 34th place all the way to 20th place at 0.8% as he inched closer to a 2016 run.

On the Democratic side, Jim Webb continues to rise slowly.  He is now in 15th place.  He was 48th place as late as January.

Here’s the full list:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1060

Hillary Clinton was by far the biggest mover of the week increasing her odds from 39.4% to 41.1%.  It appears her strategy of avoiding the media and making Chipotle cameos is working.  This is the highest she has been since August.

Marco Rubio had the second largest gain following his announcement and media blitz.  He stays in 3rd overall but gains 0.5% to 4.7%, his highest probability since November. This is the smallest gap with Jeb Bush since beginning of February

Scott Walker is up 0.3% to 4.3% just behind Rubio.  He seems to be the candidate generating the most enthusiasm among Republicans.

Two top tier candidates tumbled in the odds but mainatined their place.  Elizabeth Warren decreased from 2.5% to 2.3%.  This is the lowest since July but she is still in 6th place. Chris Christie decreased from 2.2% to 1.8%.  This is the lowest he has been but he stays in 7th place overall.

Mike Huckabee up to 13th from 22nd just two weeks ago as he will make an announcement on whether he will run in May.

Andrew Cuomo was down to 15th, lowest since August and 7th among Democrats, as there has been zero buzz about the possibility of him running.

Other movements among top candidates:

Ted Cruz moves up to #9, the highest he’s been.

Kerry up to 14th, the highest he has been.

Jim Webb up 3 to 17th.

Bobby Jindal down to 18th. Was in 12th in Mid March

Here’s the full list of candidates:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1047