Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush continued to be one and two at 41.9% and 10.8% respectively.

Marco Rubio continued his hot streak closing in on Bush.  He improved from 5.9% to 6.2% and has cut Bush’s lead from 6.0% to 4.6% in just 4 weeks.

Bernie Sanders was by far the hottest candidate moving from 0.7% to 1.5%.  That catapulted him from 21st place to 8th place.  He was in 42nd place just 7 weeks ago. He even leapfrogged Martin O’Malley for 4th among Democrats behind Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden, both of whom are unlikely to run.

While Sanders and Rubio are two of the hottest candidates, Christie continues to be the coldest.  He dropped another 0.2% to 1.1% and from 9th place to 10th place.  Just 10 weeks ago he was double that at 2.2% and 7th place.

Some recent entrants have struggled to gain any ground.  Lincoln Chafee dropped from 27th to 37th place one week after entering.  George Pataki dropped from 43rd to 48th two week after entering.

Here is the list of all candidates:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1127

Hillary Clinton continued to be steady at the top at 41.8%.  She has been between 41% and 42% the last 8 weeks.

Marco Rubio continues to close the gap on Jeb Bush for second place.  Rubio gained 0.2% to 5.9% while Bush fell 0.5% to 10.8%.  The 4.9% gap between the two is the smallest since the end of 2014.

Martin O’Malley moves up from 10th place to 7th place passing up Joe Biden for 3rd place among Democrats.  His 1.4% is still significantly behind Warren’s 2.1%.  Warren remains strong in 6th place overall despite stating over and over again that she is not running.

Another week means more people throwing their names in the hat:

Rick Perry announced and moves up from 30th place to 26th place.  Perry got as high as 4th place last summer as he tried to capitalize on the border crisis and before his indictment.

Lincoln Chafee announced for the Democrats and makes his debut on the list at #27

Lindsey Graham announced for the Republicans and makes his debut at #32

Michael Bloomberg moves up to 17th place from 20th place as anti-Clinton Democrats look for a realistic alternative.  Bloomberg may also run as an independent.  This is the highest Bloomberg has been.

Bernie Sanders moves up to the 21st spot from 27th, the highest he has been.

Bobby Jindal drops once again to 23rd place from 17th place.  Jindal was a top 10 candidate last summer but the fiscal mess in his home state has taken a lot of the wind out of his sail.

Here is the full list of candidates:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1067

Hillary Clinton continued her steadiness at the top increasing her probability by 0.1% to 41.9%.  That, along with Jeb Bush’s 0.2% drop increased her lead over Bush to 30.6%.

The biggest mover near the top was Marco Rubio who improved by 0.3% to 5.7%.  The shrunk Bush’s lead on Rubio to 5.5%, which is the slowest it has been since February 2015.   Back in November, Rubio was actually ahead of Bush.  Bush then surged in December with his announcement that he would explore running, and has been the closest candidate to Clinton since.

All announcements this week have had very little impact:

Martin O’Malley’s announcement only moved him by 0.1%, but enough to get into 10th place overall.  He is currently the 4th leading Democratic candidate although he’s behind one person who has said she is not running (Elizabeth Warren) and one who is unlikely to run (Joe Biden).

Rick Santorum’s entry failed to move him at all.  He remains in 24th place overall at a 0.7% probability.

George Pataki makes his debut  in 46th place overall at only a 0.4% probability.

In other moves, Chris Christie continues to tumble dropping to 8th place at 1.4%.  It’s hard to remember, but back in May 2014, Christie was actually Clinton’s biggest competition, peaking at 4.7%.

Ben Carson moved ahead of Mike Huckabee to 14th place.

Here’s a full list of the odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1134