For the third straight week, Hillary Clinton has lost ground.  This week she drops 0.5% to 43.8%.  That is her lowest since the end of July.  Clinton’s lead remains large however, with her closest competitor being Jeb Bush.

Bush also dropped 0.5% this week to 12.5%.  That is his lowest since the middle of July.  He has been losing ground to Donald Trump who once again was the biggest gainer.

Trump gained 0.8% to 7.3%.  Trump was less than 2% at the beginning of August and less than 1% at the beginning of July.  This is his 3rd week in 3rd place.

Joe Biden comes in 4th place at 4.2%,  flat to last week.  Biden had risen the past 4 weeks from 1.6% among speculation that he may be running.  He still has not made a decision.

Bernie Sanders comes in 5th place and resumes his rise.  He is at 3.9% up from 3.5%.  Sanders had been pretty stagnant the last three weeks as Biden rose.  With Biden flat this week, the gain in odds went to Sanders.

John Kasich’s steady rise continued for an 8th straight week.  He rose fro 1.9% last week to 2.2% .  Kasich has more than double his odds from 0.9% at the start of the streak.  He remains in 8th place but is within striking distance of Scott Walker who has been heading in the other direction.

Walker was down for the 9th straight week to come in at 2.6% from last week’s 2.7%.  Walker was at 4.1% in the middle of July which was good for 4th place. He is now in 7th place.

There are two new entrants into the top 10.  Carly Fiorina makes her debut in the ninth spot up from 13th place.  Her momentum has even caused CNN to change its debate criteria which now will likely include her.

The other new entrant with tremendous momentum is Ben Carson.  Carson improved from 14th place to 10th place. Recent polls have Carson in second place in Iowa behind Trump.

The rise of Fiorina and Carson has been at the expense of Rand Paul and Ted Cruz. They both fell out of the top 10.  Rand Paul has now fallen for ten straight weeks while Cruz has been fairly flat in his odds with rivals jumping over him.

Here’s a list of all the candidates:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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Hillary Clinton has declined for the second straight week dropping from 46.2% to 44.3%.  That is the lowest she has been in 6 weeks.  Part of the drop can be attributed to Joe Biden’s recent surge.

Biden was the second biggest gainer this week increasing from 3.5% to 4.2%.  That was enough to allow him to hop over Bernie Sanders and Marco Rubio for 4th place overall. This is the 4th straight week of big moves for Biden as speculation about whether he will run continues.

Half of Biden’s gains came from Sanders who dropped 0.3% to 3.5%.  This was his first drop in over a month.

The biggest gainer of the week was once again Donald Trump.  His odds increased 1.9% to 6.5%.  He continues to be in 3rd place and is now at half the odds of Jeb Bush who is in 2nd at 13%.

Bush was up by 0.2% from 12.8%.  He is the biggest disconnect between betting odds and national polls.

The most consistent gainer among the secondary candidates continues to be John Kasich.  He was up another 0.2% to 1.9%.  Kasich has improved in each of the last 7 weeks and has doubled his odds over that period moving from 14th to 8th place over that time.

Rand Paul has been dropping the most consistently. He dropped another 0.2% to 1.1%.   Paul has either stayed flat or dropped the last 20 weeks and has fallen from 5th place to the current 9th place over that time.

Below are the full odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1052

Hillary Clinton may finally be seeing signs of the email scandal impacting her odds.  Her odds dropped from 47.5% to 46.2%, her lowest in a month.  She remains the easy odds on favorite.

Jeb Bush continued to be the strong number two although he has also been declining.  Her dropped from 13.1% to 12.8%, his lowest since mid July.

The candidate with all the buzz and for the last two month has been Donald Trump.  Once again he rose, this time from 3.3% to 4.6% which allowed him to leapfrog Bernie Sanders and Marco Rubio for 3rd place overall.

Despite dropping in the standings, both Sanders and Rubio actually improved their odds.  Sanders up to 3.7% from 3.6% which put him in 4th overall.  Rubio up to 3.5% from 3.4% putting him in 5th place.

Aside from Trump, the hottest (non)candidate has been Joe Biden.  He was up from 2.9% to 3.5%.  which allowed him to jump over Scott Walker for 6th place.  Over the last three weeks, Biden has more than doubled his odds as speculation about him running began.

Three weeks out from the first debate, Scott Walker and Rand Paul seem to be the biggest losers.  Walker drops again this week by 0.3% to 2.8%.  He has dropped from 4th place to 7th place since the debate.

Rand Paul dropped by 0.2% to 1.3%.  He has dropped from 6th place to 9th place since the debate.

Aside from Trump, the big gainers since the debate are John Kasich and Carly Fiorina.  Kasich has been up the last 6 weeks and is now in 8th place at 1.8%.  Fiorina  is now up to 12th place. She was in 24th place the week before the debate.

Here are the full standings:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1068