Hillary Clinton was up 3.6% to 43.4% post the first Democratic debate.   Clinton seems to have regained momentum now up for a third straight week and reaching her highest probability since the beginning on September.

The debates seems not to only have helped Clinton, but the overall odds of the Democrats capturing the White House.  The combined odds of Democratic candidates increased from 58.5% to 60.3%.

The biggest loser on the night seems to have been Joe Biden.  Biden has not declared yet if he is running, but the need for him to run seems to have declined with Clinton’s performance.  He dropped from 8.2% and third overall to 7% and 5th overall.

Despite Clinton’s performance, Bernie Sanders managed to improve from 5.3% to 5.9%, his all time high.  He remains in 6th place overall.

Jeb Bush continued to lead the odds on the Republican side but now has dropped for four straight weeks.  He came in at 8.9% from 9.7% last week and 12.6% four weeks ago.

Donald Trump has regained momentum jumping from 5th place back to 3rd place at 7.6%, hopping over both Biden and Marco Rubio.

Rubio declined by 0.2% to 7.5% but stayed in 4th place overall.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 990

For the second straight week Hillary Clinton improves.  She was up 0.6% to 39.8%.  That widened the gap slightly over her Democratic rivals.

Joe Biden continued to improve.  He gained 0.5% to 8.2% and is still in 3rd place.

Bernie Sanders also improved.  He gained 0.3% to 5.3% and continued to be in 6th place overall.

On the Republican side, Jeb Bush continues to be in 2nd place overall but for the 3rd straight week his odds declined.  He drops 1.2% to 9.7%.  In those three weeks he has lost 3% and now has both Marco Rubio and Donald Trump right on his heels.

Rubio was up again, this week by 0.5% to 7.7%.  He is still in 4th place overall.

Trump was up for the first time in 4 weeks.  He improved 0.4% to 7.1%.  He remains in 5th place.

Michael Bloomberg was the biggest mover after speculation (mostly from an interview with hedge fund manager Bill Ackman) he may be running.  Bloomberg tripled his odds to 1.5%.  That was enough to move him from 16th place to 10th place.  He has moved up 3 weeks in a row from 34th place into the top 10.

Here are the overall odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1009

After declining for 7 straight weeks, Hillary Clinton was able to turn it around and improve by 1% to 39.2%.  She is nearly 4 time the odds of the next closest competitor Jeb Bush.

Bush declined for the second straight week to 10.9% from 11.9%.  He has declined for two straight weeks and is at his lowest point since June.  Bush’s loss seemed to go entirely to Marco Rubio.

Rubio was the biggest mover of the week, improving from 5.8% to 7.2%.  That is the highest odds he has ever had and was enough to move him past Donald Trump for 4th place.

Even though Trump dropped to 5th place, he remained fairly flat coming in at 6.7% compared to last week’s 6.8%.  This is the third straight week where Trump has dropped.

Joe Biden (3rd overall at 7.7%) and Bernie Sanders (6th overall at 5.1%) were fairly flat and seem to be Clinton’s only true competitors for the Democratic nomination.

Carly Fiorina, Ben Carson, John Kasich, and Chris Christie were all up slightly and rounded up the top 10.

Here’s the full list:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1013