A lot of movement post the Iowa Caucus.

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton dropped by 1.2% to 57.8%. These are her lowest odds since October.

Oddly enough her closest competitors also dropped with Bernie Sanders dropping 0.6% to 6.7%.  That still leaves him in 4th place overall.  Martin O’Malley dropped out of the race and out of the odds.

On the Republican side, even though Marco Rubio finished third, he had the single biggest increase of any candidate for any week more than doubling his odds from 8.2% to 19.7%.  He jumps over Donald Trump with a firm hold on second place.

Donald Trump saw the biggest drop of anyone going from 16.3% to 6.9%.  This is the lowest he has been since the end of November. He is in third place just ahead of Bernie Sanders.

Ted Cruz wins the Caucus but only jumped 1.1% to 3.4%.  The win does end a streak of dropping the previous 5 weeks.

Jeb Bush had a disappointing caucus and dropped by 0.9% to 1.4%.  This is the lowest he has been in the race. He is in 6th place overall.

Last week’s speculation about Michael Bloomberg caused him to jump to 7th place.  He dropped 0.4% to 1.3%.

Two candidates that came back into the picture are Joe Biden and Mitt Romney.  Biden came back at 0.9% which was good enough for 8th place as some Democrats make another attempt at getting Biden to run.

Romney came in at 0.2% which was enough for 11th place. This could be a play at the possibility of no one winning the electoral college.  Romney would have a shot if it was up to Congress.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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A few days before the Iowa caucus has Hillary Clinton dropping slightly from 59.7% to 59%.  She holds a solid lead, although this is the lowest she has been since the end of October, and the smallest lead over second place since August.

The major reason for Clinton’s shrinking lead is the momentum that Donald Trump has.  He gains another 0.9% to 16.3%. This is the seventh straight week of increases.  At the start of that streak he was only at 0.9%.

Trump’s gain comes at the expense of Ted Cruz who drops 0.7% to 2.4%.  He has now dropped for five straight weeks and is at his lowest since the middle of November.

Speculation that Bloomberg might run has catapulted him to seventh place.  He was up by 1.2% to 1.6%.  This is the highest he has been.

One peculiar jump was from Paul Ryan.  He jumped from 15th place to 10th place improving from 0.2% to 0.3%.  Perhaps that is a play on Bloomberg jumping in resulting in no one winning the electoral college and sending it to a vote in the house.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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Hillary Clinton continued to have a big lead at 59.7%, up 0.3% from the prior week.  Her lead over Donald Trump however, has shrunk to the lowest level in the last 14 weeks.

Donald Trump continued his campaign as he splits loyalties on the right.  He got an endorsement from Sarah Palin while conservative National Review had an “Against Trump” issue with essays from many conservative thinkers.  Trump was up 2.5% to 15.4%.  Over the last six weeks he has more than doubled his odds, and the 15.4% is the highest at any time in this race for anyone other than Clinton.

Marco Rubio continues to run in third and dropped 0.8% to 8.3%.  He has now dropped for eight straight weeks, and he is at his lowest level since the end of October.

Over the last two weeks Bernie Sanders has made a move.  He was up again this week by 0.2% to 7.4%, his highest mark of the campaign.

Ted Cruz continues to suffer with all of the attacks from Trump.  Cruz was down 1.2% to 3.1%.  He has now been down four straight weeks and is at his lowest point since the end of November.

Jeb Bush and Chris Christie continued to be in sixth and seventh place with each dropping 0.2%.  Jeb Bush is now at 2.4% and Chris Christie at 0.9%.

The one second tier candidate that showed some life is John Kasich.  He was up 0.2% to 0.5%.  That was enough to lift him from tenth to eighth.  It is also his highest mark since the middle of December.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1090