Hillary Clinton continued to strengthen her lead.  She improved from 58% to 63.2%.  This is her third straight increase and the highest she has been since early January.

Donald Trump improved slightly from 22.7% to 23.4%.  He has been the clear leader the last 4 weeks at close to 25%.

John Kasich’s Ohio win meant that he had the biggest move of the week.  He is now clearly the “establishment” candidate.  He jumps into third place up from 3.5% to 3.8%.  He was in 5th place last week behind both Sanders and Cruz and 8th place three weeks ago behind the likes of Rubio and Bloomberg.

Bernie Sanders suffered the biggest loss of any candidate as his odds dropped from 6.7% to 3.6%.   This week was the largest gap between Clinton and Sanders since early January.

Ted Cruz was one of the big Republican losers on the week.  He dropped from 4.3% to 3.0% largely due to Kasich winning Ohio and keeping this a three man race.

The biggest loser of the week was Marco Rubio whose campaign ended with his loss in his home state of Florida.  Rubio dropped from 2.0% to out of the odds as he suspended his campaign.   For a long time late last year, Rubio was considered the top Republican candidate.  He peaked at 19.7% in early February (after the Iowa caucus where Trump struggled and Rubio briefly jumped to 2nd).

The non candidates continue to show some action.  Joe Biden is up for the third straight week at 1.5% from 1.3%.

He is followed by Paul  Ryan who is up to 0.9% from 0.8%. He has now been up for 4 straight weeks.

Mitt Romney was flat at 0.7%.

Here are the odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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Hillary Clinton continues to lead at 58% up from 57% last week.  She has been up the last two weeks.

Bernie Sanders follows rebounds from a bad week.  He jumps from 3.5% to 6.7%.  He was at 6.4% two weeks ago.

Donald Trump continues to be far and away the Republican front runner but dropped from 23.9% to 22.7%, his lowest in three weeks.

Marco Rubio seems to be on life support prior to the Florida vote.  He drops from 6% to 2%.  Two weeks ago Rubio was at 11.9%.  He drops from 3rd place to 6th place.

The beneficiaries for Rubio’s drops are Ted Cruz and John Kasich.  Ted Cruz improves from 2.6% to 4.3%.  This is the highest he has been in two months.

John Kasich improves from 2.5% to 3.5%.  This is the highest he has been in this contest.  He was at less than 1% just two weeks ago.

Michael Bloomberg announced he was not running.  Bloomberg got as high as 5th place two weeks ago as speculation he was running peaked.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1070

Hillary Clinton strengthened her grip on the nomination post Super Tuesday.  Her odds are now at 57%, up from 50%.

Part of this gain came at the expense of Bernie Sanders.  Sanders  dropped from 6.4% to 3.5%.  He has now decreased for three straight week and is at his lowest point since the beginning of the year.

Donald Trump continued to be in second place, but dropped slightly coming in at 23.9% down from 25.3%.  These odds are as of Saturday, and may reflect not only his wins on Super Tuesday, but the attacks coming after from the Republican party establishment.

The biggest move on the Republican side is the drop for Marco Rubio who moved from 11.9% to 6%.  This is the lowest he has been since the end of September. He remains third overall.

The drops for Rubio meant that Ted Cruz and John Kasich were a more likely alternative to Trump than before.  Cruz’s odds improved from 1.2% to 2.6%.  Kasich improved from 1.1% to 2.5%.  There is a disconnect between Kasich’s odds, and the fact that he has not won any primaries.  At this point he is no where near Rubio or Cruz from a delegate perspective, but his odds are very close to Cruz’s with some oddsmakers putting him ahead.

Ben Carson could not see a way forward for his campaign and pulled out of the campaign.  His moment was in late October and early November when he was 6th overall and 4th among Republicans.

There is still no word on whether Michael Bloomberg will run, but the window is beginning to close.  His odds dropped from 2.25% (and ahead of Cruz and Kasich) to 1.8% which is 7th place, behind all remaining candidates.

Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan got a jump in odds. Romney from 0.4% to 0.8% and Ryan from 0.3% to 0.8% as the unpredictability of how the primaries and elections increased.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1104