Biden continued to gain ground on his VP this past week. Kamala Harris’ odds dropped from 4.61X to 4.68X. That is her lowest since in 6 months.
Biden saw a small improvement from 5.48X to 5.45X, his best odds since mid February. The 17% lead for Harris, is he smallest above Biden since the end of January.
Donald Trump started his rallies again. His odds saw very little movement, dropping from 7.86X to 7.87X. This is in line with his average for the cycle.
The biggest movers were two Democrats that are raising their profile. AOC improved from 32.5X to 29.5X, her highest in 5 weeks. She remained in 9th place.
Pete Buttigieg improved from 38.5X to 35.7X, his highest in 5 weeks. It was enough to bump him up from 13th place to 11th place.
Kamala Harris’ odds decrease slightly from 4.58X to 4.61X. She has dropped for four straight weeks and is at her lowest in 3 months.
Biden improved slightly from 5.51X to 5.48X, that is still below where he was two weeks ago. The gap vs Harris is at its lowest since mid February. Longer term, the gap is likely to continue to decrease as time goes on, as the window for Biden not running shrinks.
Donald Trump remained in 3rd place at 7.86X.
one of the biggest drops came from AOC who dropped from 30.4X to 32.5X. This is a new low for her but she remains in 9th place.
Another big drop came from Ivanka Trump as she dropped from 32.3X to 36.4X, a new low for her as well. This drop took her out of the top 10 to 11th place.
Both Kamala Harris and Joe Biden saw small drops this week. Harris from 4.57X to 4.58X, that is her lowest in 9 weeks. Biden from 5.47X to 5.51X, which puts him back where he was two weeks ago.
Donald Trump on the other hand had a small improvement from 7.95X to 7.86X. That is still well below where he was two weeks ago at 7.64X.
The three biggest movers were:
AOC, improving from 32.0X to 30.4X. She is in 9th place.
Ivanka Trump from 34.3X to 32.3X. She is right behind AOC in 10th place.
Michelle Obama from 49.1X to 41.8.X. That moved her up from 19th place to 14th place, her highest in 5 weeks.
