Category Archives: Uncategorized

Updated Weekly Odds: Trump with Largest Gain; Clinton Keep Reaching New Highs; Cruz, Kasich, Sanders Continue Fall

Hillary Clinton continued to reach new highs.  She was up to 68.4% from last week’s 66.9%, which was her then all time high.

Despite that improvement, he lead over Donald Trump actually shrank from last week’s 48.6% to this week’s 47.3% as a result of Trump’s big Jump.  Trump moved from 18.4% to  21.1%.  This is the highest he has been in 5 weeks.

Ted Cruz had the biggest drop as he decreased from 5.6% to 3.7%.  The 3.7% is the lowest he has been in 5 weeks.

Bernie Sanders dropped from 3.5% to 2.7%.  This is the lowest he has been in 17 weeks.

John Kasich dropped 1% from 2.3% to 1.3%.  This is the lowest he has been in 9 weeks.

Here is the full field:

April 30 2016 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1017

Updated Weekly Odds: Clinton Odds at a New High post NY; Trump Improves; Sanders and Cruz with Big Declines

Hillary Clinton’s odds continued to improve.  She reached a new high at 66.9%.  Previously her high was at 66.6% in January.  Just two months ago she was at only 49.8%.

Donald Trump also improved his odds post his NY victory.  He was up to 18.4% from 14.8%.  This is the highest he has been in the last 4 weeks.

Ted Cruz jumped over Bernie Sanders for third place despite dropping by 2.1% to 5.6%.  This is his lowest mark in three weeks.

The big loser on the week was Bernie Sanders who dropped from 7.7% to 3.5%.  He peaked two weeks ago at 9.5%.  The 3.5% is his lowest since March.

John Kasich also dropped from 2.9% to 2.3%.  He has now dropped for three straight weeks.  He is at his lowest point since the end of February (prior to Rubio dropping out).

Here are the full odds:

April 23 2016 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1079

Updated Weekly Odds: Clinton and Trump Increase Leads; Cruz Catches Sanders; Kasich Down; Rubio a Convention Possibility?

Hillary Clinton increased her commanding lead from 60.9% to 62.9%. She has been in the 60% to 63% range the last five weeks.

After a bad two weeks, Donald Trump rebounded a bit from 14.1% to 14.8%.  That is still well below the 23% he was at three weeks ago.

Bernie Sanders had the biggest drop, moving from 9.5% to 7.7%. That is still well above his trend from March.

Ted Cruz improved from 7% to 7.7% setting another new high and catching Sanders for third place.

John Kasich struggles for the second straight week dropping from 3.6% to 2.9%.  He peaked two weeks ago at 4.1%.

Paul Ryan announced that he will not be seeking the nomination at the convention nor will he accept it.  He also stated he believes if it becomes a contested convention, the candidate chosen should be a candidate that actually ran this year.  That shook the odds of the candidates currently not in the race.  Ryan dropped from 2.3% to 1.4%.  Mitt Romney dropped from 0.6% to 0.5%.  Marco Rubio, who was no longer in the odds, came back in at 0.5%.

Here are the full odds:

April 16 2016 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 1027