Although Hillary Clinton avoided prosecution, FBI Director’s testimony in front of Congress appears to have hurt her odds.  Clinton dropped 2.6% from 66.9% to 64.3% despite getting Bernie Sanders’ endorsement.  This is the lowest she has been in the last 6 weeks.

Donald Trump was able to capitalize on it jumping by 4.0% to 30.4%, his highest in 7 weeks.   The 30.4% is the second highest he has been (was at 32.9% on 5/28)

Trump’s jump was higher than Clinton’s decline due to drops for Sanders and Biden.  With Sanders’ endorsement and no email prosecution, it appears Clinton’s nomination is inevitable.  Sanders dropped from 2.7% to 1.6%, his lowest since June of 2015.  Biden dropped from from 1.6% to 1.3%, his lowest since April.

Hillary Clinton still maintains a substantial lead of 33.9%, although that is the lowest in the last 6 weeks.

Here are the overall odds:

Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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The biggest news this week was the AG announcing that Hillary Clinton will not be charged for the email scandal.  That moved the odds for Bernie Sanders down from 3.0% to 2.7%, his lowest since the start of May.  Joe Biden also got hit dropping an even greater 0.5% to 1.6%, his lowest since early May as well.

One would expect this combined 0.8% drop would all go to Clinton.  In fact Clinton only went up 0.4%, the same as Trump.  That is a sign that overall the week helped Trump.

Clinton was up 0.4% to 66.9%, her second straight weekly gain.

Trump was up 0.4% to 26.4%, the highest he has been in four weeks.

Here are the overall odds:

Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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On the Republican side, Jeff Sessions saw the biggest move dropping from 27.2% to 16.1%.  That was enough for him to drop from first to second.

Newt Gingrich had similar odds to last week at 17.3% (vs 17.4%) and that was enough for him to take the lead.

The odds lost by Sessions went to three candidates:

• John Kasich improved from a tie for 4th and 6.8% to 3rd and 13.3%
• Chris Christie stayed in 4th place but improved from 6.8% to 12.7%
• Mike Pence saw his odds jump from 15th and 2.3% to 5th and 7.9%

Here’s a list of the top 15:

 

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