Category Archives: Uncategorized

Trump’s Odds Drop to Lowest in 100 Days, Warren Jumps to a New ’18 High; Bloomberg Rumored to be Running; Dimon’s Comments Put Him on Trump’s Radar

Donald Trump’s odds fell for the fourth straight week dropping from 2.45X to 2.49X.  This is the lowest he has been in nearly 100 days.  This week’s bad news was around Paul Manafort pleading guilty and cooperating with the Feds.

Elizabeth Warren saw a big jump from 12.6X to 11.7X.  These are her highest odds this year.  Her all time high came in June 2017 at 9.7X.  She remains in third place overall.  CNN has her in first place in their monthly “power rankings of Democrats”.

Michael Bloomberg’s odds jumped as a source confirmed he will run. His odds jumped from 47.7X to 44.5X.  These are his highest odds in five weeks.  He is in 13th place overall.

Jamie Dimon said he can beat Trump, causing a Trump Twitter attack. His odds jumped from 58.7X to 48.1X.  That was enough to move him from 19th place to 15th place.

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 660

Trump Sees a Small Drop for 3rd Straight Week; Kamala Harris’ and Cory Booker’s Odds Improve on Senate Hearings with Harris Reaching New High; Garcetti Keeps 2020 Buzz Going

Donald Trump’s Odds saw a small drop for the third straight week, moving from 2.44X to 2.45X.  These are his lowest odds in 11 weeks but still much higher than his overall average of 2.90X this cycle.  His odds have ranged between a high of 2.31X (beginning of August) and a low of 3.46X (Sept 2017).

Kamala Harris and Cory Booker used the Senate hearings to increase their national profile and their odds responded to it. Kamala Harris reached an all time high at 9.3X up from last week’s 10.3X (then an all time high). This is also the highest odds of any Democrat throughout this cycle.

Cory Booker moved up from 31.8X to 27.4X, his highest since March 2018.  This moved him from 9th place to 7th place.  His best odds were back in Nov of 2016 when he was in 5th place at 19.6X.

L.A. Mayor keeps creating buzz around running.  He was in Cleveland and came “one step shy of announcing 2020 Presidential candidacy”. His odds improved from 58.9X to 53.8X, a new all time high.  He moved from 23rd place to 16th place.

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 719

Trump Sees Slight Decline in Odds; Sanders Jumps Over Warren for 3rd; O’Rourke and Avenatti Continue to See Their Odds Soar

For the second straight week, Donald Trump saw his odds drop slightly.  This time from 2.42X to 2.44X.  These are the lowest odds he has had in 9 weeks, but more than four times more likely than the next closest competitor.

Bernie Sanders saw a jump in his odds from 13.1X to 12.5X.  These were enough to have him jump over fellow liberal Elizabeth Warren for third place overall. Is there room for the both of them? 

A couple of unlikely candidates continued to be hot in the betting world.  Beto O’Rourke keeps picking up momentum after making his debut last week.  His odds are up from 54.7X to 41.6X, moving him up from 15th place to 13th place.  He has become a favorite for those on the left looking for an “Obama-like savior to surface”.

The other unlikely name to be soaring is Michael Avenatti.  His odds rose from 55.5X last week to 43.4X this week allowing him to jump from 16th place to 14th place.  Avenatti is one of the few candidates who isn’t shy about sharing his intent about running.  It may be a publicity stunt, but one can argue Trump was in the same boat four years ago.

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 670