Donald Trump’s odds took a step back after last week’s rebound, dropping from 2.91X to 2.96X. These are the lowest odds he has had in 11 months, tied with where they were at two weeks ago. His best odds were at 2.31X in August 2018.

Kamala Harris continued her strong first month as a candidate. Her odds reached another new high this week at 6.28X, up from last week’s 6.38X. She has now improved the last 8 weeks. She was at 7.93X and in 3rd place (to Beto) when the streak started. She has now distanced herself from all other candidates, more than doubling the odds of everyone behind her with the exception of Beto O’Rourke and Joe Biden.

Amy Klobuchar’s odds improved and reached a new high this week with the expectation she will announce her candidacy on Sunday. She is now at 24.6X up from 26.1X. There are reports she is having difficulty filling campaign positions due to her mistreatment of staff.

Despite the crowded field on the Democratic side, potential candidates continue to mull over their own potential candidacy. The latest is Ohio Democrat Tim Ryan who will be visiting Iowa and New Hampshire in the coming weeks. His odds jumped from 143.3X to 122.2X. That moved the longshot from 69th place to 56th place, his highest in 8 months.

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With the government shutdown over, Donald Trump’s odds reversed course and improved from 2.96X to 2.91X. They are still below where they were three weeks ago (2.90X) and far off where they were prior to the streak (2.43X in mid November).

The trend of recent Senate Democrats announcing their candidacy continued this week with Cory Booker. His odds improved from 36.7X to 32.9X, his highest in 5 weeks. Booker was once thought to be one of the top tier candidates starting the cycle in 5th place but slowly declining. He is currently in 13th place.

Howard Schultz went on 60 Minutes last week to say he was considering running as an independent. The pushback from the left came quick as fears of a run by an independent would help Trump get re-elected. Schultz’s odds improved from 84.5X to 78.1X, and he rose from 29th place to 23rd place. He has been as high as 14th place back in July 2018.

Beto O’Rourke’s odds have been slipping lately. Although he remains in 3rd place overall, his odds have fallen in recent weeks. After peaking at 7.68X four weeks ago, he has now fallen for three straight weeks and is down to 10.1X. These are his lowest odds in 10 weeks. The drop has been caused by both being overshadowed by candidacy announcements from other Democrats as well as some questionable moves.

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Donald Trump’s Odds declined for the 8th straight week, this time from 2.83X to 2.86X. These are his lowest odds in over 300 days. He remains more than 2.7X as likely to win as the next candidate. This week’s news was around the government shutdown heading into its second week with no end in sight and the Democratic Congress starting its session. Trump’s net approval has seen a significant drop in the last three weeks from around -9% to the current -12%.

The big candidate news on the week was Elizabeth Warren announcing a 2020 presidential exploratory committee. She became the first major Democratic Candidate to make the announcement. Her odds jumped from 23.2X to 16.6X. That allowed her to jump over Bernie Sanders for 5th place overall. She has been as high as 2nd overall before hot new names like Kamala Harris and Beto O’Rourke appeared.

With Warren’s announcement, speculation quickly moved to who will announce next. Kamala Harris will be on the Late Show on January 10th. Will she announce then? The odds certainly point to her running. She improved slightly from 7.84X to 7.79X. That was enough for her to jump over Beto O’Rourke and to get back to second place overall. She was last in second place 4 weeks ago.

Mitt Romney wrote an op-ed critical of Trump on Tuesday and followed it up on Wednesday saying he will not run in 2020 against Trump. The publicity raised his odds from 85.7X to 78.0X, his highest in nearly 100 days. He is now in 25th place up from 29th place.

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