Kamala Harris’ odds jumped from 4.98X to 4.71X. These are her highest odds in 5 weeks. She was the only candidate in the top 10 to show a meaningful increase.

Joe Biden remind in second place and had a slight drop from 5.44X to 5.49X, this in the week right after his inauguration. These are the new President’s lowest odds in 10 weeks.

Former President Donald Trump also saw a drop in odds from 8.88X to 9.25X. This is a tie with his lowest odds last reached the weekend after the election. This puts the former President at half the odds (twice the payout) as Kamala Harris.

Mike Pence remained comfortably in 4th place although he saw a drop as well from 12.9X to 13.5X, his lowest odds in 4 weeks. The former VP played the Presidential role in much of the last week, although he is not liked by the former President’s base for not standing up for Trump.

Here is the list of the top 50 candidates:

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Views – 476

Kamala Harris saw a small drop from 4.93X to 4.98X. These are her lowest odds of the last three weeks.

Joe Biden saw the offset improving from 5.46X to 5.44X. That is still well below the 5.15X he had two weeks ago.

Donald Trump saw a small drop from 8.81X to 8.88X, his worst odds since the second week of November. He has now dropped for four straight weeks.

One of the biggest improvements came from Mike Pompeo who improved from 47.2X to 44.6X. These are his highest odds of the 2024 cycle and are enough to move him from 20th to 17th place.

Here are the odds for the top 50:

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Views – 492

Kamala Harris’ odds were little changed vs. last week, coming in at 4.93X compared to 4.97X.

Joe Biden’s saw a moderate drop from 5.15X to 5.46X. These are his lowest in 7 weeks. This also lead to Harris having her widest lead vs. Biden in 7 weeks as well.

Donald Trump’s odds saw a large drop from 7.33X to 8.81X. One the one hand, Biden’s victory was made official by the Electoral College, making a 2024 run for Trump more likely. On the other hand, this was a week where a Trump call to the Secretary of State of GA was released that showed him pressuring him to find fraud and rioters got into the Capitol after Trump asked them to end the “Steal”. There is currently talk of a second impeachment by the House, which if it also goes through the Senate, would take away Trump’s ability to run again. The 8.81X is his second lowest since the initial odds after the election. Those initial odds likely included some chance of him still winning 2020 and therefore being ineligible for 2024.

Interestingly, Mike Pence’s odds were little moved at 12.4X up from 12.7X. These are his highest since the 3rd week of November. He and Trump are reportedly not talking and it seems like he has lost credibility with the Trump base. This might be an interesting “short”.

Who has benefited the most from Trump’s decrease?

Ivanka Trump’s odds improve from 24.0X to 21.4X a new high. She is still in 7th place.

Candace Owens jumps from 52.5X to 34.2X also a new high. She jumps from 24th place to 12th place.

Josh Hawley, who led the opposition to the Electoral College in the Senate, dropped from 46.2X to 48.7X (22nd place)

Here’s the top 50:

Views – 469