For the 4th straight week, Donald Trump’s odds remained flat at 2.77X. These have been his high for over a year. This is basically the same odds as the next 9 Republican candidates combined, meaning about a 50/50 shot of being the Republican nominee.
Elizabeth Warren’s odds continued to drift down after announcing she intends on finishing her second term if reelected in the fall. She was at 13.0X at that time and dropped to 13.8X. This was followed by 14.3X last week, and the current at 14.7X. She remains in 4th place overall.
Kirsten Gillibrand continues to increase her profile as evidenced by this GQ article. Her odds improved from 24.7X to 23.8X. That puts her in 7th place overall, an area she’s occupied for six of the last eight weeks when she capitalized on the #MeToo movement.
Here are the full odds:
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After a small drop the prior week, Donald Trump’s odds rebounded from 2.79X to 2.77X, which is the same as two weeks ago and the highest since the middle of March ’17. They are still a bit away from the 2.41X high achieved on 1/7/17.
Bernie Sanders’ odds have been rising quietly over the last 5 weeks. This week they increased from 12.5X to 11.9X. That was enough for him to jump Kamala Harris (12.4X) for second place overall. Harris had held that spot for four weeks after jumping over Elizabeth Warren.
After 15 straight weeks of improvement, Donald Trump’s odds took a break. His payout increased from 2.77X to 2.79X. These are still significantly better odds from the 3.29X he had before the start of the streak. Trump has higher odds than the next four candidates combined.
Last week, Elizabeth Warren announced she is not running. Her odds took a hit from 13.3X to 15.5X. A week later, her odds rebounded to 13.4X which was enough for her to jump into 4th place. She was in 3rd two weeks ago, ahead of Bernie Sanders.
Joe Biden hasn’t ruled out running in 2020 and this week engaged in a war of words with Trump. Could this be a preview of what is to come in 2020? Biden’s odds improved from 18.5X to 16.8X. These are the top odds he has had this election cycle.
