Category Archives: Trump 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Buttigieg 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Conclusion of Mueller investigation helps Trump’s odds; Buttigieg’s hot streak lands him in top 10; Sanders focuses on CA while reports tease Biden’s potential VP pick; Both jump Harris for 2nd and 3rd place

News of the conclusion of the Mueller investigation seemed to give Donald Trump’s odds a boost. His odds improved from 2.85X to 2.75X. His odds have now improved the last 4 weeks and have reached their highest in three months.

One of the hottest names recently has been Pete Buttigieg. His odds skyrocketed this week from 63.5X to 40.5X, improving his standing from 14th place to 10th place. He made his debut in the odds merely 9 weeks ago at 103.6X (42nd place) when the 37 year old made his candidacy official.

Bernie Sanders is focusing on CA as the state’s move to an earlier primary makes is a big player. His momentum continued this week with his odds improving from 7.16X to 7.07X which allowed him to jump Kamala Harris for second overall.

Joe Biden also jumped Kamala Harris this week as his odds improved from 7.57X to 7.18X, putting him in 3rd place overall. Although he has not officially announced, stories leaked of him considering Stacey Abrams as his VP candidate and him committing to just one term, both ways to combat one of his perceived weaknesses being age.

Here are the full odds:

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2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, ORourke 2020, Trump 2020, Yang 2020

Trump’s odds improve to best in 11 weeks on small increase; Beto makes it official, sucks up 2020 coverage from both sides; Biden continues to tease run; Yang jumps ahead of big names including Warren, Klobuchar, and Booker

Donald Trump’s Odds continued their recent streak of small but consistent improvements, this week moving from 2.86X to 2.85X. This is the third straight week of improvements. He was at 2.93X four weeks ago. This is the highest he has been in 11 weeks. The headlines this week centered around Congress’ vote to release the Mueller report and Trump’s first veto to the rebuke from Congress on the border wall state of emergency.

Beto O’Rourke finally made it official this week. The amount of coverage he received from all media whether political in nature or not, would suggest his candidacy will either be very successful (top 3 Democratic candidate) or a total flop (ala Jeb Bush being a top candidate and quickly crashing and burning in 2016). His odds improved from 10.1X to 9.2X. He stayed in 5th place overall.

Joe Biden is the last top candidate that has not announced his intentions of running. He continues to tease a run, and the direction his odds have moved the past four weeks indicate most believe he will run. He was up this week from 8.39X to 7.57X, allowing him to stay in fourth place. His odds were at 10.9X just one month ago.

Perhaps the hottest name not on everyone’s radar is Andrew Yang. The Democrat that is best known for his Universal Basic Income stance continues to get media coverage giving life to his unlikely candidacy. He jumped this week from 50.5X to 27.2X, moving from 13th place to 6th place. To give some perspective about the inroads he has made (at least from a betting perspective): He is currently ahead of big names like Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, and Cory Booker. He was first mentioned on this blog exactly one month ago when he jumped from 169X and 81st place to 127X and 63rd place.

Here are the full odds:

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2020 Weekly Odds, Bloomberg 2020, Brown 2020, Clinton 2020, Harris 2020, Hickenlooper 2020, Merkley 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020, Uncategorized

Trump’s odds improve to best in 9 weeks; Sanders remains hot name, reaches new high; Hickenlooper officially announces, quickly raises money; Four high profile candidates officially out

Trump’s odds improved from 2.91X to 2.86X. Although this may not seem like a big improvement, it’s the best odds he has had in 9 weeks. To keep things in perspective, his high for the cycle is 2.31X in August 2018.

Bernie Sanders is currently the hot candidate on the left. He jumped up from 9.18X to 7.06X, a new high for him. This was enough to have him jump the yet undecided Joe Biden (8.39X) for 3rd place. He is just behind Kamala Harris (6.73X) for the Democratic lead. Sanders signed the “Democratic Loyalty Pledge” this week.

John Hickenlooper officially announced his candidacy on Monday and his odds jumped from 73.6X to 66.4X. That was enough for him tomove from 21st place to 14th place. He became the fourth Democrat to raise over $1 million within hours of his announcement.

A few top names officially announced they are NOT running:

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 660