Category Archives: Sanders 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Ryan 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020, Zuckerberg 2020

Little Change in Trump’s Odds; Sanders and Zuckerberg Continue to Improve; Ryan’s Odds Jump

For the 5th straight week, the payout for putting money on Trump remains at 3.0X.  At 20.6%, he continues to have the same odds as the next four competitors combined.

Bernie Sanders’ odds once again improved as he continues to increase his profile. He did so this week with appearances attacking the Senate healthcare bill.    For the second straight week he remains in 5th place with his payout once again dropping from last week’s 22.1X to 20.8X.  This is the lowest payout (highest odds) he has been at this election cycle.  Just 3 weeks ago he was at 23.6X.

Paul Ryan’s odds improved without much news behind it.  His payout dropped from 27.3X to 25.9X.  It had been in a range between 26.9X and 27.7X for 9 straight weeks.  He remains in 9th place, and third among the Republicans.

One of the hottest names continues to be Mark Zuckerberg.  This week, he visited Iowa, an important state politically for anyone running for President, as part of his tour of the US. Zuckerberg also made some news changing the mission of Facebook  His payout drops from 29.1X to 27.4X.  This a new high in this election cycle and he continues to be in 10th place.  Zuckerberg joined the odds in the middle of January in 50th place at a payout of 107.3X.

Here are the full odds:

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2020 Weekly Odds, Harris 2020, Romney 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Updated Election Odds: Little Change in Trump Odds; Bernie Sanders Up to 5th on Hot Streak; Kamala Harris and Romney Move Up

There was very little change in Donald Trump’s odds this week despite reports indicating he is personally under investigation by the special counsel.  The payout remained at 3.0X  for the fourth week in a row and his probability dropped slightly from 20.8% to 20.7%.

Bernie Sanders saw a big jump moving from a payout of 22.6X to 22.1X.  That was enough for him to jump into 5th place from 7th. Sanders has been hot having his payout decrease in each of the last 7 weeks.

Kamala Harris has seen her profile increase with the hearings and her odds have followed. Her payout has dropped from 33.3X to 31.9X.  That was enough for her to move up to 12th place from 13th place.

Mitt Romney was a name from the past that resurfaced this past week on the back of Joe Biden encouraging him to run for Senate.  His payout was at 67.0X for the last 21 weeks, but improved this week to 61.7X.  This moved him up from 30th place to 29th place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 669

2020 Weekly Odds, Bloomberg 2020, Ryan 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Little Change in Trump’s Odds Post Comey Hearing. Sanders, Bloomberg, Rubio Improve.

There was little change in Donald Trump’s odds post Comey testimony.  For the third straight week the payout was at 3.0X .  His probability did have a small move up to 20.8% from 20.5%, his highest in three weeks. He has a large lead with nearly three times the odds of his next closest competitor, VP Mike Pence.

Bernie Sanders has increased his profile leading the opposition  and his odds reflect that.  His payout dropped from 23.6X to 22.6X.  That is his second lowest of the cycle (22.5X beginning of April).  He remains in 7th place overall, 5th among Democrats.

Michael Bloomberg opposed the U.S. leaving the Paris accord and offered his own funding to help. That increase in profile seemed to have improved his odds.  His payout dropped from 35.7X to 33.7X. That is the lowest payout he’s been at this cycle.  He remains in 15th place.

Marco Rubio moved up from 19th place to 18th place.  His payout dropped from 38.7X to 36.6X.  That is his lowest since the end of the year. He is the top Republican  outside of the Trump orbit (Pence and Ryan are ahead of him in the odds).

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 671