Donald Trump’s odds continued to be fairly steady with a similar payout (2.6X) and probability (24.5%) as two weeks ago.
Mike Pence continues to be in second and improved a little bit. His payout is at 8.7X and his probability is at 7.3%.
Cory Booker continued to be in 6th place, but his payout dropped (odds improved) once again, this time from 22.2 to 21.6. He has nearly the same payout as Hillary Clinton (21.5) who is in 5th place.
The big riser continues to be Mark Zuckerberg. He was in 45th place with a payout of 107X just 6 weeks. His payout this week dropped from 53.8X to 43.8X and he is now in 20th place.
The bumpy start of the Trump Administration has not hurt Trump’s odds much. Over the last 4 weeks, the payout has barely moved from 2.4X to 2.5X and he still has a higher probability than the next 5.
Trump’s two main competitors in 2016 gained ground this week despite the Democrats wanting new leadership and the fact that both will be well into their 70s (like Trump) in 2020.
Hillary Clinton continued to be in 5th place but her payout dropped for the second straight week, this time to 21.8X from 23.1X.
Bernie Sanders rose from 10th place to 8th place and his payoff is now at 26.7X from 29X. He still only has a 2.4% probability.
The biggest mover was John Hickenlooper, the Democratic Governor of Colorado. He moved from 24th place to 19th place. His payoff moved from 66.3X to 56.3X. He is only at 1.1% probability.
Donald Trump’s Odds for re-election declined slightly after his first week in office. His payout increased from 2.4X to 2.5X, the highest in 6 weeks. Compared to the rest of the pool he has a 26% chance, still higher than the next five candidates combined.
Hillary Clinton has been moving up since the end of November when she was in 11th place. She is now in 5th place, tied with Cory Booker. Their payout is at 23.1x and their probability is at 2.8%.
The other big mover was Kamala Harris who moves up from 14th place to 12th place. Her payout moved from an average of 32.5x to 30.3x times.
