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Updated Election Odds: Trump Continues Large Lead; Sanders, Haley move Up; Kaine, Biden, Rubio Down; Brown, Gabbard Debut
Donald Trump continued to dominate the odds having as much probability as the next six candidates combined. The payoff for placing a bet on Trump remained the same at 2.4X.
Biggest Movers up:
- Bernie Sanders: 11th place from 18th as payoff dropped from 33.9x to 28.3x
- Nikki Haley: 31st place to 20th place as payoff dropped from 77.3X to 40.7X
Biggest Movers down:
- Tim Kaine: 13th place from 8th place as payoff increased from 22.6x to 29.6x
- Joe Biden: 14th place from 10th place as payoff increased from 23.1x to 30.0x
- Marco Rubio: 21st place from 15th place as payoff increased from 30.0x to 41.4x
Debuts:
- Sherrod Brown: D Senator from OH at 16th place with 34.0X
- Tulsi Gabbard: D Rep from HI at 22nd place with 51.0X
- Leonardo DiCaprio: Actor 36th place with 81.0X
- Sarah Palin: former R Gov of AK 40th place with 101X
- Dwayne Johnson: Actor 40th place with 101X
Here are the full odds:
Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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Updated 2020 Odds: Trump Continues with Big Lead; Gillibrand with Big Move up; Ryan into top 5
Donald Trump continued to have over a 1 in 4 chance of winning at 25.6%. The payout for betting on Trump dropped once again to 2.4x from 2.5x last week and 2.6 the week prior.
The biggest mover was Kirsten Gillibrand. The Democratic Senator from NY moved from 18th place to 12th place as her odds increased from 1.8% to 2.4%. Her payout plummeted from 34.3x to 26.0x. She was ranked #4 in this recent list of potential Democratic candidates.
Paul Ryan has been making steady progress as well. He started in 12th place in the initial post elections list. He moved all the way up to 6th place last week and entered the top 5 this week. His probability is now at 3.2% and his payout is down to 19.8X.
Here are the full odds:
Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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