All posts by Aztocas

Trump’s Odds Continue at One Year Highs; Obama not Running; Zuckerberg Testifies in Front of Congress; Ryan Retires from Congress

Donald Trump’s odds stayed flat to the last two weeks at 2.77X.  These are his high highest odds in over a year and nearly as high as the next five competitors combined.

Most of the movement this week came from outside the top 10:

Michelle Obama shared she will not be running a little over a week ago.  There seemed to be a delay in the odds as they were flat last week and dropped this week from 28.0X to 34.5X.  That was enough to have her drop from 9th place to 10th place.

Mark Zuckerberg came away from his testimony in front of Congress with some bumps and bruises.  The same could be said for his odds as they dropped from 33.8X to 50.2X.  That dropped him from 11th place to 16th place.

Paul Ryan announced his retirement from Congress and online rumors of running against Trump spread immediately.  The odds-makers and betting public didn’t seem to put much into those rumors as his odds dropped from 38.6X to 47.0X.  He is in 12th place overall.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 668

Trump’s Odds Continue at One Year High; Warren Unlikely to Run; Biden Continues to Have Strong Poll Numbers; The Rock May Run, Unlikely in 2020

Donald Trump’s odds remained constant from last week at 2.77X. He’s had those same odds in 3 of the last 4 weeks.  They are his highest in the last 56 weeks.  They are nearly as high as the next five opponents combined.

Elizabeth Warren stated she will serve all 6 years of her term if reelected, which means she will not run for President. That is the second time in the last few weeks where there were reports of her not running.   Her odds dropped from 13.0X to 13.8X, although she remained in 4th place overall.

Joe Biden’s odds kept on improving this week as polls kept showing favorable numbers.  The odds improved from 16.1X to 15.6X. They have now been up for 5 straight weeks, when he was at 20.0X. He remained in 6th place overall.

Dwayne Johnson sounded like a candidate, just not for 2020 in an interview with Rolling Stone. His odds dropped from 37.4X to 39.9X.  These are his lowest odds since July 2017.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 736

Trump’s Odds Rebound; Sanders Jumps Harris for Second Place; Biden up on Poll; Rubio Caught in Middle of Gun Debate

After a small drop the prior week, Donald Trump’s odds rebounded  from 2.79X to 2.77X, which is the same as two weeks ago and the highest since the middle of March ’17.  They are still a bit away from the 2.41X high achieved on 1/7/17.

Bernie Sanders’ odds have been rising quietly over the last 5 weeks.  This week they increased from 12.5X to 11.9X.  That was enough for him to jump Kamala Harris (12.4X) for second place overall.  Harris had held that spot for four weeks after jumping over Elizabeth Warren.

A poll was released showing Joe Biden ahead of Trump 56 to 39 in a 2020 match-up. That was enough for his odds to move up for the second straight week, this time from 16.8X to 16.1X.  He was at 20.0X the beginning of March.

Marco Rubio is stuck in the middle of the gun debate and that has not helped his odds which dropped for the second straight week.  This time the drop was from 50.2X to 54.5X.  He was at 47.9X two weeks ago.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 781