Donald Trump continued to trend up and is now at his highest point in 59 weeks. His odds improved from 2.77X to 2.75X. He had been at 2.77X the last 5 weeks. His all time high this cycle was on 1/7/17 at 2.41X.
For the 5th straight week, Donald Trump’s odds remained at 2.77X. These are the highest odds in 13 months.
There were only two changes in the odds:
Joe Biden continued to improve his odds moving from 15.1X to 14.6X. He was at 20.0X just 9 weeks ago. This latest move was enough to move him from 5th place to 4th place jumping over Elizabeth Warren.
Elizabeth Warren continued to drop as her odds moved from 14.7X to 14.9X. She has dropped for the last 4 weeks. Warren was in 3rd place at the beginning of March but began to drop shortly thereafter when she announced she would serve out her term if she wins in November. She is now in 5th place, her lowest showing in the election cycle.
For the 4th straight week, Donald Trump’s odds remained flat at 2.77X. These have been his high for over a year. This is basically the same odds as the next 9 Republican candidates combined, meaning about a 50/50 shot of being the Republican nominee.
Elizabeth Warren’s odds continued to drift down after announcing she intends on finishing her second term if reelected in the fall. She was at 13.0X at that time and dropped to 13.8X. This was followed by 14.3X last week, and the current at 14.7X. She remains in 4th place overall.
Kirsten Gillibrand continues to increase her profile as evidenced by this GQ article. Her odds improved from 24.7X to 23.8X. That puts her in 7th place overall, an area she’s occupied for six of the last eight weeks when she capitalized on the #MeToo movement.
Here are the full odds:
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