All posts by Aztocas

Trump Reaches Another New High Despite Tough Week in Headlines; Biden Jumps over Warren; Iger Called out by Sanders; Holder Makes Odds Debut

Despite what many perceived as a bad week for the President including criticism for his meeting with Putin, Donald Trump’s odds continued to improve this time from 2.40X to 2.38X, a new all time high.   He has 5 times the odds of his next closest competitor Kamala Harris.

Joe Biden continues to be a name talked about and was mentioned as a good choice by another potential candidate, former New Orleans mayor Mitch Landrieu.  His odds improved from 14.7X to 14.3X allowing him to jump Elizabeth Warren for 4th place overall.  He has been between 14.2X and 14.7X the last 13 weeks.

Bob Iger’s odds took a big hit after the Disney CEO was called out for his pay by fellow Democrat Bernie Sanders. Iger’s odds dropped from 41.8X to 96.8X which took him from 11th place to 50th place.

Eric Holder made his debut in the odds at 73.3X which puts him in 33rd place overall.  Speculation continues that the former Obama AG will run.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 726

Trump’s Odds Remain at All Time Highs; Warren Helped by Trump’s Attacks; Booker and Patrick to Visit TX

Donald Trump’s odds remained at 2.40X for the second straight week, an all time high. That is nearly 5 times the next closest competitor and 6.5 times better than the next closest Republican, Mike Pence.

Elizabeth Warren’s odds improved to 14.5X from 14.7X.  That was enough to have her jump over Joe Biden into 4th place overall.  She seems to be Trump’s favorite target, which of course helps her on the left. She had been as high as 2nd place for a few weeks back in February.

Cory Booker is considered another front runner for the Democrats.  His odds dropped slightly from 30.2X to 31.3X.  Those are his lowest odds of the cycle.  He is currently in 9th place.  He peaked at 19.6X and 5th place shortly after the 2016 election.  Regardless of the odds, his actions seem to indicate he will be running, including planning to speak at a fundraising dinner in TX in September.

Speaking of TX and Democrats, another candidate, Deval Patrick will be there campaigning for Democrats this weekend. Patrick’s odds improved this week from 54.7X to 52.5X moving him from 22nd to 21st place.  This is the highest he has been in 6 weeks.

Here are the full odds:

Views – 724

Donald Trump’s Odds reach a New High; Once Hot Opponents Continue to See Drops Including Obama, Kennedy, and Zuckerberg

Donald Trump’s odds reached a new high at 2.40X.  He was at 2.45X the previous week.  The previous high was at 2.41X all the way back at the start of Jan 2017 (pre-inauguration). He has nearly 5 times the odds of his nearest competitor Kamala Harris who is at 11.5.

Most other competitors saw drops this week including:

Michelle Obama who dropped from 33.2X to 34.4X.  She remains in 10th place but has seen her odds drop from 30.1X four weeks ago.

Joe Kennedy gave an interview and mentioned he’s not looking ahead to 2020.  He has been dropping  recently from 57.4X last week and 39.7X six weeks ago to the current 60.8X.  That has taken him from 11th overall six weeks ago to 28th this week.

Mark Zuckerberg has also seen a significant drop the past few weeks.  He was at 44.8X and 16th place just five weeks ago.  He dropped to 34th place last week (70.4X) and 39th place this week (83.1X)

Here are the full odds:

Views – 665