For the second straight week, Donald Trump saw his odds drop slightly.  This time from 2.42X to 2.44X.  These are the lowest odds he has had in 9 weeks, but more than four times more likely than the next closest competitor.

Bernie Sanders saw a jump in his odds from 13.1X to 12.5X.  These were enough to have him jump over fellow liberal Elizabeth Warren for third place overall. Is there room for the both of them? 

A couple of unlikely candidates continued to be hot in the betting world.  Beto O’Rourke keeps picking up momentum after making his debut last week.  His odds are up from 54.7X to 41.6X, moving him up from 15th place to 13th place.  He has become a favorite for those on the left looking for an “Obama-like savior to surface”.

The other unlikely name to be soaring is Michael Avenatti.  His odds rose from 55.5X last week to 43.4X this week allowing him to jump from 16th place to 14th place.  Avenatti is one of the few candidates who isn’t shy about sharing his intent about running.  It may be a publicity stunt, but one can argue Trump was in the same boat four years ago.

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Donald Trump’s odds saw a small drop as former members of his inner circle have either been found guilty of crimes or have obtained immunity this week.  The odds worsened from 2.33X to 2.42X.  Putting things in perspectives, these are his lowest odds in only 8 weeks and he is still more than 4 times as likely as the next candidate to win in 2020.

What Trump’s bad week did do is give life to the odds of the top potential Republican alternatives.  Mike Pence’s odds jumped from 18.6X to 17.7X , his best in 5 weeks.  He remains in 6th overall.  Paul Ryan’s also saw improvement  from 52.1X to 49.3X, his highest in 4 weeks.  This was enough to move him from 18th place to 11th place.

The top Democrats also improved.  Kamala Harris, reached a new high improving from 11.3X to 10.4X. She has now been in 2nd place for 9 straight weeks. Elizabeth Warren improved from 13.4X to 12.6X, the best odds she has had in over 6 months to remain in 3rd place overall.

There was a strong debut this week from Beto O’Rourke, the Democratic candidate for Senate in Texas.  His name recognition skyrocketed overnight after a speech in which he defended NFL players went viral. His odds are at 54.7X putting him in 15th place overall.

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Views – 687

Former Trump aide Omarosa’s book seemed to capture a lot of the media attention and took up much of the President’s tweets, but it seemed to have no impact on his odds.  They remained flat to last week at 2.33X and slightly below his high from two weeks ago at 2.31X.

Andrew Cuomo was another headliner this week, as Trump dared him to run in 2020. That seemed to put Trump in Cuomo’s head as he made a political mistake that he later admitted was “inartful”.  Cuomo’s odds dropped from 56.7X to 57.4X and from 17th place to 24th place.  This is a new low for the Governor, who started the election cycle in the top 10.

If it wasn’t for the calendar, one might think the 2020 Republican Primary has already started as the John Kasich and Trump camps went after each other this week.  Kasich’s odds improved from 61.3X to 52.9X and he moved up from 23rd place to 19th place.

One non politician gaining momentum but that remains a long shot is Stormy Daniels’ lawyer Michael Avenatti. He hinted at a possible run last week and entered the standings in 29th place at 66.5X.  This week he began discussing his policy views, and his odds improved to 54X and 20th place overall.

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Views – 1041