For the third straight week, Donald Trump’s odds came in at 2.55X. Although they seem to have stabilized the last three weeks, they are at 18 week lows. A new poll was released that showed more and more people now see Trump winning in 2020 than before. (March 40% thought he’d win and 54% lose. That is now 46% win and 47% lose)
There was a disconnect between Joe Biden’s odds and news regarding his candidacy. The odds decreased from 17.4X to 19.4X, his lowest in 32 weeks. On the news front, a poll showed that Democrats, by far, currently prefer Biden over other Democratic candidates.
Michael Bloomberg continues to improve with his odds coming in at 28.4X up from 37.2X last week and 50.1X just seven weeks ago. He is now in 9th place overall. The news this week is he registered as a Democrat.
Nikki Haley made news this week by resigning as UN Ambassador. She went out of her way to say she will not run in 2020 and that she supports Trump. Many see this as a great move for her political future and a 2024 run. Her odds for 2020 still responded positively however improving from 58.3X to 55.3X., up from 19th place to 17th. There’s always the possibility that Trump doesn’t run, at which point she jumps to the top of the list of people contesting Mike Pence.
Here are the full odds:
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