A week after taking the lead over his VP, Joe Biden’s odds continued to expand his lead. He improved from 4.96X to 4.85X, another new all time high.
Kamala Harris dropped again, this week from 5.13X to 5.24X, her lowest odds.
Donald Trump had another small improvement this week from 7.75X to 7.71X, his 6th straight improvement. His current odds are the highest in 10 weeks.
Although Ron DeSantis has been getting a lot of air time on the news, his odds did not move and stayed at 12.2X, his all time high, and very securely in 4th place.
Joe Biden’s odds finally caught up and passed his VP Kamala Harris this week. This is the first time this entire cycle. His odds jumped from 5.18X to 4.96X, his best odds. Kamala Harris dropped from 4.90X to 5.13X, her worst odds of the cycle. A New Hampshire poll was released showing him with a commanding lead above all other Democratic candidates at 49% saying they would vote for him if the primary was today, 43% unsure, and only 9% for other candidates.
Donald Trump’s odds saw a small improvement from 7.77X to 7.75X, his best in 9 weeks and his third straight week of improvement.
Ron DeSantis reached another new high improving from 12.4X to 12.2X. He has been the most consistently improving candidate over the last few months.
The narrowing trend between Harris and Biden continued as Harris dropped for the third week in a row dropping from 4.83X to 4.90X, her lowest since mid January. Biden improved for a 6th straight week this week from 5.24X to 5.18X. These are his best odds since the second week of the year. The gap is now the lowest since that second week of the year.
Donald Trump improved his odds from 7.85X to 7.77X, his best odds in 8 weeks.
Interestingly the biggest improvements are all from women:
AOC improved from 34.1X to 31.6X. She is in 9th place
Ivanka Trump improved from 37.9X to 35.8X. She is in 10th place
Michelle Obama improved from 50.6X to 43.9X. That allowed her to jump from 18th place to 14th place.
Kristi Noem improved from 50.2X to 46.1X. That allowed her to jump from 17th place to 15th place.
