Donald Trump’s Odds declined for the 8th straight week, this time from 2.83X to 2.86X. These are his lowest odds in over 300 days. He remains more than 2.7X as likely to win as the next candidate. This week’s news was around the government shutdown heading into its second week with no end in sight and the Democratic Congress starting its session. Trump’s net approval has seen a significant drop in the last three weeks from around -9% to the current -12%.

The big candidate news on the week was Elizabeth Warren announcing a 2020 presidential exploratory committee. She became the first major Democratic Candidate to make the announcement. Her odds jumped from 23.2X to 16.6X. That allowed her to jump over Bernie Sanders for 5th place overall. She has been as high as 2nd overall before hot new names like Kamala Harris and Beto O’Rourke appeared.

With Warren’s announcement, speculation quickly moved to who will announce next. Kamala Harris will be on the Late Show on January 10th. Will she announce then? The odds certainly point to her running. She improved slightly from 7.84X to 7.79X. That was enough for her to jump over Beto O’Rourke and to get back to second place overall. She was last in second place 4 weeks ago.

Mitt Romney wrote an op-ed critical of Trump on Tuesday and followed it up on Wednesday saying he will not run in 2020 against Trump. The publicity raised his odds from 85.7X to 78.0X, his highest in nearly 100 days. He is now in 25th place up from 29th place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates follow me on Twitter

Donald Trump’s Odds dropped for the sixth straight week, with this week’s drop being the largest from 2.67X to 2.83X. There are his lowest odds in 10 months. He is still above his all time low of 3.46X (Sept 2017) but well below his all time high (August 2018).

Joe Biden’s odds continue to improve this week jumping from 15.5X to 13.6X. This is a new high for him this cycle. He stays comfortably in 4th place overall, well ahead of Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, but well behind Kamala Harris and Beto O’Rourke. A poll released this week showed he is the name Democrats and Independents would be most excited about running.

Sherrod Brown had the biggest jump this week, improving from 38.8X to 27.8X. This is a new high for the Ohio Senator and allowed him to improve from 13th place to 8th place overall. He was in 33rd place the week before the elections, but winning a Senate comfortably in a swing state showed he had some potential. He has been reaching out to fellow Democrats to talk about a possible 2020 run.

Michael Bloomberg’s odds improved slightly from 33.9X to 31.8X and he rose from 12th place to 10th place as a report came out saying he’s ready to spend $100 million of his own money on a campaign. (His estimated networth is $40 billion)

Here are the full odds:

For updates follow me on Twitter