All posts by Aztocas

2020 Weekly Odds, Bloomberg 2020, Brown 2020, Clinton 2020, Harris 2020, Hickenlooper 2020, Merkley 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020, Uncategorized

Trump’s odds improve to best in 9 weeks; Sanders remains hot name, reaches new high; Hickenlooper officially announces, quickly raises money; Four high profile candidates officially out

Trump’s odds improved from 2.91X to 2.86X. Although this may not seem like a big improvement, it’s the best odds he has had in 9 weeks. To keep things in perspective, his high for the cycle is 2.31X in August 2018.

Bernie Sanders is currently the hot candidate on the left. He jumped up from 9.18X to 7.06X, a new high for him. This was enough to have him jump the yet undecided Joe Biden (8.39X) for 3rd place. He is just behind Kamala Harris (6.73X) for the Democratic lead. Sanders signed the “Democratic Loyalty Pledge” this week.

John Hickenlooper officially announced his candidacy on Monday and his odds jumped from 73.6X to 66.4X. That was enough for him tomove from 21st place to 14th place. He became the fourth Democrat to raise over $1 million within hours of his announcement.

A few top names officially announced they are NOT running:

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 761
2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, ORourke 2020, Trump 2020, Yang 2020

Trump’s odds steady despite bad headlines; Biden’s family on board for a run, will be making decision soon; Beto continues to tease a run; Andrew Yang talks Freedom Dividend on FoxNews, odds nearly double

Donald Trump’s Odds held steady for the week despite some bad headlines including a summit with North Korea that he cut short and public testimony by his former attorney Michael Cohen. His odds barely budged improving from 2.93X to 2.91X. He remained in the tight range of 2.90X to 2.96X for the seventh week in a row.

Joe Biden says his family is on board with a potential run and he will be making a decision soon. His odds jumped from 10.4X to 9.2X which moved him up in the standings from 4th place to 3rd just slightly ahead of Bernie Sanders. This is the highest Biden has been in both odds and standings.

Beto O’Rourke continues to tease a Presidential run. His odds jumped from 12.8X to 9.5X, his best in 5 weeks. He remains in fifth place overall and has been as high as second place.

The biggest mover of the week was Andrew Yang. He nearly doubled his odds moving from 122.4X to 69.2X. That was enough to move him from 58th place to 17th place. The Democratic entrepreneur best known for his support for a Universal basic income (rebranded “the Freedom Dividend”) continues to make the rounds for publicity this week stopping by Fox News. Here’s a short profile from Axios of the 2020 candidate.

Here is a list of all the odds:

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Views – 765
Uncategorized

Trump’s odds flat despite rebound in approval to pre-shutdown levels; Bernie’s odds skyrocket after making it official and raising $6 million in 24 hours; Beto’s odds tank as he approaches a decision; Is Silicon Valley Booker’s strength or Achilles heal?

Donald Trump’s Odds saw a small drop from 2.92X to 2.93X. He has been between 2.90X and 2.96X the last six weeks. His election odds have not recovered in the same manner his net approval rating appears to have to. His net approval was -10% pre shutdown, and got down as far as -17%, and has now rebounded to the -10% range.

Bernie Sanders made his candidacy official and made headlines shortly after by raising $6 million in the first 24 hours. His odds rocketed from 16.3X to 9.7X, his best odds this election cycle. This was enough to vault him from 5th to 3rd place.

Beto O ‘Rourke is days away from making a decision on whether he is running. The betting action might be suggesting either he is not running, or perhaps he may be a VP candidate. His odds tumbled from 10.3X to 12.8X dropping him from 3rd place to 5th place. His odds peaked at below 7.7X in mid January. He was in second place that week.

One of Cory Booker’s strengths is fundraising in Silicon Valley. Could that end up hurting him? His odds improved to 32.7X from 34.8X, as he jumped from 13th place to 11th place. He has been as high as 5th place back at he beginning of the election cycle.

Here are the full odds:

For updates follow me on Twitter

Views – 836