After holding steady for about a week, Donald Trump has resumed closing the gap on Hillary Clinton in the electoral forecast. Clinton’s lead remains significant.
The four polls impacting the forecast:
- WI Poll Clinton +5 moves state from solid D to likely D
- 2 VA Polls (Clinton +2 and Clinton +1) initially move state from solid D to likely D and then from likely D to lean D
- NH poll moves state from likely D to solid D
The above polls moved the forecast from 328-210 to the current 325-213. The 112 point lead is Clinton’s smallest since she led by 104 on August 12.
Here are the polls that did not move the forecast:
- IA Poll Trump +5 confirms state as tossup
- WV Poll Trump +18 confirms state as solid R
- PA Poll Clinton +5 confirms state as likely D
- AZ poll Trump +4 confirms state as lean R
- NY Poll Clinton +18 confirms state as solid D
- NC Poll Trump +2 confirms state as tossup
Here is the list of current tossups:
- GA
- IA
- NC
- NV
Many once thoughts to be tossup states currently have Clinton in front including:
- CO
- FL
- NH
- OH
- PA
- VA
- WI
The above are the states Trump needs to swing back in order to win.
Here’s a trend of the forecast:
Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections
Click here for running list of forecast changes
Click here for results from last 5 elections
Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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