Updated Weekly Odds: Clinton Inches up to Another New High; Odds of Split Government Decrease but Still Over 50%

Hillary Clinton’s odds increased slightly from 72.2% to 72.8% .  She now leads Donald Trump by an all time high of 50.6% (Trump is now at 22.3% down from 23.1%).

We’ll see if the momentum changes as Trump has hired a new campaign manager and began airing media on Friday.

Here is a full list of the odds:

election odds 8-20-16

Looking into the odds at www.predictit.org for the House and Senate, the odds for a split government actually decreased.

The Democrats have a slight edge to win the Senate: 51.6%  Democrats win vs. 26% Republicans win and a 22.4% chance the senate is 50/50.  The odds for the Democrats winning the senate edged higher from 49.5% the prior week.

The Republicans are very likely to maintain control of the House with an 83.2% chance.  That is slightly lower than the prior week’s 84.0%.

The odds of neither party winning the House, Senate, and White House decreased from 60.0% to 56.0%.  Even though the odds of Trump winning the WH, the Republicans winning the House, and the Republicans winning the Senate all decreased, the odds of the Republicans winning all three actually increased to 22.5% from 19.0% .  This may reflect the fact that people are beginning to believe the the Republicans winning the House and Senate is tied to  Trump winning the Presidency.  The odds for the Democrats winning all three increased slightly from 21.0% to 21.5%.

Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

Views – 716