Updated Electoral Forecast: CO, NC, and FL Help Clinton to Her Biggest Electoral Lead Over Trump

Ten polls have been released over the last three days.  Three of these polls moved the forecast for their states:

  • CO Poll Clinton +12 moves state from likely D to solid D (Average of Clinton +11 for last three polls)
  • NC Poll Clinton +9 moves state from tossup to lean D
  • 2 FL Polls, both Clinton +5, move state from tossup to lean D

The above moved the forecast from the previous 316-222 Clinton to the current 329-209 Clinton.  This is the largest lead since the start of the forecast in at the beginning of May.

Other polls during the period:

  • TX Poll Trump +11 confirms state as solid R
  • VA Poll Clinton +12 confirms state as solid D
  • FL Poll Clinton +5 confirms state as tossup
  • NH Poll Clinton +9 confirms state as likely D GA
  • NY Poll Clinton +25 confirms state as solid D First
  • WA poll Clinton +19 confirms state as solid D

Here’s a trend of the forecast:

electoral trend 8-16-16

 

Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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