A few polls were released on Thursday and Sunday.  The most interesting were in NC and CO.

A NC poll released on Thursday showed a tie between Trump and Clinton.  This was followed up by a poll released on Sunday that had Clinton at +2.  Previous polls had Trump +4.  This was enough to move the state from a likely R in the last forecast to a tossup.

In the last 5 elections CO has gone Republican 3 times and Democrat 2 times.  The latest poll released on Sunday had Clinton +1.  That was the first poll in nearly 3 months and it was enough to move the state from lean D to tossup.

 

In total these two moves amounted to Clinton increasing her lead from 70 to 76. (307-231)

Other polls released included:

• 6/26 WI poll Clinton +5 confirms likely D
• 6/26 FL poll Clinton +3 confirms lean D

Here’s a trend of the forecast

Click here fora state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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