16 Polls were released in the last three days with three of them impacting the forecast. Trump’s gains on Clinton have slowed down as there are fewer battleground states for him to grab.
Here are the polls that had an impact on the forecast:
- IA Poll Trump +7 moves state from lean R to likely R
- VA Poll Clinton +7 moves state from lean D to likely D
- PA Poll Clinton +2 moves state from likely D to lean D
The above moved the forecast from the previous 286-252 to the current 284-254. The 30 point lead is Clinton’s smallest lead to date and inches Trump within striking distance on the eve of the first debate.
Here are the other polls:
- 3 GA Polls Trump +4, +6, +7 confirm state as likely R
- AR Poll Trump +21 confirms state as solid R
- CA Poll Clinton +16 confirms state as solid D
- MD Poll Clinton +33 confirms state as solid R
- LA Trump +16 confirms state as solid R
- IL Clinton +6 confirms state as solid D
- WI Poll Clinton +7 confirms state as likely D
- NC Poll tie confirms state as lean R
- FL Poll Trump +1 confirms state as tossup
- 2 CO Polls Clinton +7, +2 confirm state as lean D
Here is the list of current tossups:
- AZ
- FL
Many once thoughts to be tossup states currently have Clinton in front including:
- CO
- NH
- PA
- VA
- WI
Trump has asserted himself in other thought to be tossups including:
- OH
- IA
- NC
- NV
Here’s a trend of the forecast:
- Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections
- Click here for running list of forecast changes
- Click here for results from last 5 elections
- Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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