Biden’s odds dropped from 1.56X to 1.61X, his lowest in 4 weeks.
Trump’s odds improved from 2.58X to 2.43X, his highest in 7 weeks.
Implied odds for Biden now at 60.1%, lowest in 4 weeks
Here’s the overall odds and trend:
On the VP side, we are near the end. Harris maintained the lead she has had from the start, dropping slightly from 2.3X to 2.4X. The hottest name last week was Bass. Last weekend basically took her out of contention as many questions came up about her and Cuba. Her odds dropped from 7.7X and 3rd overall to 100X and 8th overall. The hot name currently is MI Governor Whitmer who rose from 10th place and 200X to 3rd place and 8.3X. She basically traded places with Bass. Bass’ drop also helped Rice who remained in 2nd place and improved from 4.5X to 3.0X.
The electoral projections moved in the opposite direction of the odds as Biden’s lead moved from 315-223 to 329-209 with three models being updated. The six models have Biden winning from by anywhere between 176 to 64 Electoral votes.
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