Donald Trump’s Odds set a new high with a small improvement over prior week. The odds improved from 2.00X last week to 1.99X this week. The odds have been in a tight range of 1.99X to 2.04X the last 8 weeks. Interestingly (due to Harris’ improvement), his odds vs. the top 5 Democrats dipped to 48.7% compared to last week’s 49.0%. The combined odds of the top 5 Democrats improved from 1.92X to 1.89X.
Since the first Democratic Debate, Kamala Harris has been the hottest name and she continued that trend this week. Her odds improved from 6.33X to 5.57X, another new high for her (and slightly behind the high for the Democrats by Joe Biden of 5.19X at the beginning of June). She was at 13.5X prior to the debates.
Tom Steyer threw his name back into the race. His odds saw a large increase from 260X to 193X. That took him up from 76th place to 37th place. Prior to exiting in April, he was in 28th place and at 129X. His peak was at 82X in November 2018.
The one name flying under the radar that has been improving the last few weeks is Cory Booker. He has improved in each of the last 4 weeks and is now at 62.3X and 10th place overall. The 62.3X is the highest he has been in 8 weeks. Keep an eye on SC, an early primary state, for Booker. He is getting endorsements from the state.
Here are the candidates with better than a 200 to 1 shot:
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