Trump’s Odds continued their hot streak, as they have been either up or flat for the last 14 weeks. This week they improved from 2.04X to 2.02X. The recent increase has diverged from recent polls showing a drop in net favorability which dropped in the past 4 weeks by about 3% (from around -9.5% to -12.5%.
The only other top tier candidate to show an improvement this week was Elizabeth Warren. Her odds have seen a consistent improvement the last 6 weeks improving from 34.0X to the current 21.5X. She has been very active in her campaigning and has had the most detail behind her policies. That seems to be paying dividend as the polls are beginning to show movement in her direction.
Jay Inslee is considered the “Green” candidate, and not surprisingly, he got the top grade in Greanpeace’s grading of the top 20 candidates . His odds jumped this week from 165.6X to 151.9X. He remains an extreme long shot as he moved from 42nd place to 33rd (keep in mind there’s only 25 or so official candidates).
Below is the list of 61 candidates with a better than 200 to 1 shot:
For updates follow me on Twitter
Views – 608