Trump’s odds improved from 2.91X to 2.86X. Although this may not seem like a big improvement, it’s the best odds he has had in 9 weeks. To keep things in perspective, his high for the cycle is 2.31X in August 2018.
Bernie Sanders is currently the hot candidate on the left. He jumped up from 9.18X to 7.06X, a new high for him. This was enough to have him jump the yet undecided Joe Biden (8.39X) for 3rd place. He is just behind Kamala Harris (6.73X) for the Democratic lead. Sanders signed the “Democratic Loyalty Pledge” this week.
John Hickenlooper officially announced his candidacy on Monday and his odds jumped from 73.6X to 66.4X. That was enough for him tomove from 21st place to 14th place. He became the fourth Democrat to raise over $1 million within hours of his announcement.
A few top names officially announced they are NOT running:
- Hillary Clinton announced “I’m not running” and her odds dropped from 56.1X to 78.5X (dropping from 15th to 21st). There’s still speculation that she may change her mind.
- Sherrod Brown who has recently been visiting early-voting states highlighting his worker friendly agenda decided not to run. His odds dropped from 27.0X to 80.8X (8th to 23rd).
- Michael Bloomberg decided not to run. The former Mayor of New York wrote “I believe I would defeat Donald Trump in a general election. But I am clear-eyed about the difficulty of winning the Democratic nomination in such a crowded field” His odds dropped from 30.8X to 76.7X (9th to 20th).
- Jeff Merkley, the Oregon Senator, announced he will not run on Tuesday. His odds dropped from 109.5X to 131.3X (45th to 59th)
Here are the full odds:
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