Trump’s Odds Hold Steady at One Year Highs; Kamala Harris’ Candidacy Needs Work Back in CA; Warren Continues to Drift Down; Gillibrand Continues to Increase Profile

For the 4th straight week, Donald Trump’s odds remained flat at 2.77X.  These have been his high for over a year.   This is basically the same odds as the next 9 Republican candidates combined, meaning about a 50/50 shot of being the Republican nominee.

Kamala Harris improved slightly from 12.7X to 12.5X and remains in third overall.  Harris seems to be better known as a national name than a local CA name.  That may be problematic come primary time as CA has moved up its primary.

Elizabeth Warren’s odds continued to drift down after announcing she intends on finishing her second term if reelected in the fall.  She was at 13.0X at that time and dropped to 13.8X. This was followed by 14.3X last week, and the current at 14.7X. She remains in 4th place overall.

Kirsten Gillibrand continues to increase her profile as evidenced by this GQ article.  Her odds improved from 24.7X to 23.8X.  That puts her in 7th place overall, an area she’s occupied for six of the last eight weeks when she capitalized on the #MeToo movement.

Here are the full odds:

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