Donald Trump’s odds stayed flat to last week coming in at 3.28X. He remains more than three times more likely to win the presidency as any candidate, although his odds have fallen over the last year. At this time last year, Trump was at 2.58X, or 21% more likely.
The big mover on the week was once again Kirsten Gillibrand. The Senator from NY called for the President to resign this week and the President bit the bait and took her on. That increased her profile once again and likewise her odds. This week she improved from 45.8X to 36.4X. That moved her from 18th place to 12th place.
Joe Biden apologized to Anita Hill for not doing more in the 1991 Thomas Hearings. It looks like that was taken as a sign that he will be running in 2020. Biden’s odds moved from 25.6X last week to 24X this week. That was enough to move him from 8th place to 7th place.
Marco Rubio stated he will not support the tax bill without changes to the child credit. Many see this as a play to improve his odds for 2020. His odds improved from 47.1X to 42.6X. That moved him from 20th place to 19th place (4th among Republicans).
Here are the full odds:
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