Trump Maintains Large Lead; Biden and Zuckerberg Continue to be Hot with Launch of PACs; Klobuchar Turns it Around

Donald’s Trump remained fairly flat as his probability saw a slight dip from 20.7% to 20.5%.  The payout remained at 3.0X, flat to last week.  He had a big drop two weeks ago with the announcement on a special counsel but then rebounded last week. He has similar probability as the next four candidates combined.

Joe Biden fueled speculation of a run by launching a PAC. This helped him keep his hot streak with his payout dropping from 21.5X to 20.9X.  That is the lowest payout (highest odds) he has been at.  He has improved over the last 8 weeks .  He began that stretch with a payout of 291X, and has moved from 9th place to the current 5th place.

Another hot name has been Mark Zuckerberg.  A new PAC (that he has nothing to do with) was formed with the goal of convincing the Facebook founder to  run. He moves into the the top 10 from 12th place.  He was in 16th place 5 weeks ago and in 50th place beginning of the year.  His payout has shrunk from over 100X at the beginning of the year to last week’s 32.7X and this week’s 28.9X.

Amy Klobuchar’s odds improved with her payout decreasing from 39.1X to 36.5X.  This was an improvement from her worst week as far as odds. Most think she will run in 2020, and that certainly fits with her spending some time in Iowa a few weeks ago. She is now in 16th place and has ranged between 12th place back in January and 19th place last week.

Here are the full odds:

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