21 state polls have been released since the last update with 16 of them impacting the forecast. Most of the 16 helped Hillary Clinton expand her lead.
Here are the polls that had an impact on the forecast:
- 3 NV Polls (Clinton +6, +1, +3) move the state from lean R to lean D
- 2 FL Polls (Clinton +1, +5) move state from tossup to lean D
- 3 NC Polls (Clinton +1, +3, +6) move state from tossup to lean D
- 2 CO Poll (Clinton +11, +11) move state from tossup to likely D
- 3 PA Polls (Clinton +4, +9, +10) move state from lean D to likely D
- NJ Poll (Clinton +6) moves state from lean D to likely D
- NM Poll (Clinton +4) moves state from solid D to likely D
- OR Poll (Clinton +12) moves state from likely D to solid D
The above moved the forecast from the previous 298-240 to the current 315-223. This current 92 point lead is Clinton’s largest since 9/7 when she led by 94.
Here are the other polls:
- OH Poll Trump +5 confirms state as lean R
- VA Poll Clinton +7 confirms state as solid D
- DE Poll Clinton +21 confirms state as solid D
- Initial TN Poll Trump +12 confirms state as solid R
- IL Poll Clinton +25 confirms state as solid D
With many of the tossup states swinging Clinton’s way, we down to one state:
- AZ
Many once thoughts to be tossup states currently have Clinton in front including:
- CO
- FL
- NC
- NH
- NV
- PA
- VA
- WI
Trump is leading in a few thought to be tossups including:
- OH
- IA
Here’s a trend of the forecast:
- Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections
- Click here for running list of forecast changes
- Click here for results from last 5 elections
- Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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