Donald Trump’s recent gains in battleground states are getting reflected in the odds. For the third straight weeks, Trump has improved his odds. He is up this week from 26.1% to 30.9%. This is his highest since end of July when he was at 33.7%. That was also his all time high.
Hillary Clinton continues to have more than a two to one margin in odds however at 63.9%.
Here is a full list of the odds:
Looking into the odds at www.predictit.org for the House and Senate, the odds for a split government increased to its highest since tracking began five weeks ago.
For the House, the Republicans increased their odds of retaining it from 86.6% to 87.1%. Those odds have increased for the last three weeks.
The Democrat’s odds of winning the Senate decreased from 53.4% to 53.1%. That was driven by the Republican odds increasing from 25.2% to 25.8%. The odds of a split Senate where the VP breaks a tie decreased to 21.1% from 21.4%.
Oddly enough, the Republican gains for the Presidency, House, and Senate did NOT result in improved odds of winning all three at once. Those odds decreased from 25.5% to 24.5%. This may be a reflection of voters being more open to splitting their vote across parties. The odds of the Democrats winning all three decreased once again this time from 16% to 14%. That is the lowest since tracking started. As a result the odds of a split government increased to 61.5%.
Here is a trend of those odds:
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