12 Polls were released in the last couple of days with seven of them impacting the forecast. Many of these polls showed Donald Trump making up further ground which tightened the forecast further.
Here are the polls that had an impact on the forecast:
- 3 NC Polls (Trump +1, +2, +5) moved the state from a tossup to lean R
- Maine Poll tie moved state from likely D to lean D (2 previous polls Clinton +9, +3)
- 2 NV Polls both Trump +3 moves state from tossup to lean R
- NH Poll Clinton +9 moves state from lean D to likely D
The above moved the forecast from the previous 294-244 to the current 286-252. The 34 point lead is Clinton’s smallest lead to date and puts Trump within striking distance of her.
Here are the other polls:
- OH Poll Trump +5 confirms state as likely R
- WI Poll Clinton +3 confirms state as likely D
- FL Poll Clinton +5 confirms state as tossup (Trump ahead in previous polls)
- CA Poll Clinton +17 confirms state as solid D
- NY Poll Clinton +21 confirms state as solid D
Here is the list of current tossups:
- AZ
- FL
Many once thoughts to be tossup states currently have Clinton in front including:
- CO
- NH
- PA
- VA
- WI
Trump has began to assert himself in other thought to be tossups including:
- OH
- IA
- NC
- NV
Here’s a trend of the forecast:
- Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections
- Click here for running list of forecast changes
- Click here for results from last 5 elections
- Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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