Donald Trump made up ground in several state polls over the last few days, but that was not enough to change the electoral forecast. Here are the 5 polls since the last update:
- 2 PA polls (Clinton +3 and Clinton +8) got Trump closer to Clinton, but not enough to swing the state away from likely D. All three previous polls were Clinton +9.
- MI Poll Clinton +5 got Trump closer in that state and was enough to swing it from solid D to likely D. The two previous polls were Clinton +11 and Clinton +7.
- OH Poll was a tie. Combined with the previous two polls (Clinton +6 and Clinton +4) kept the state as lean D. Another tie would swing the state to a tossup.
- AZ was the only state poll to swing in Clinton’s direction. Poll came in at Clinton +1. The previous polls were Trump +2 and Trump +7. This was enough to swing the state from likely R to lean R.
The above polls kept the forecast at 328-210, as Trump’s electoral gain in Michigan was offset by Clinton’s gain in AZ.
Here is the list of current tossups:
- GA
- IA
- NC
- NV
Many once thoughts to be tossup states currently have Clinton in front including:
- CO
- FL
- NH
- OH
- PA
- VA
- WI
The above are the states Trump needs to swing back in order to win.
Here’s a trend of the forecast:
Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections
Click here for running list of forecast changes
Click here for results from last 5 elections
Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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