Updated Electoral Forecast: Clinton Increases Lead with Gains in MI, PA, NH, and GA; Trump Gains in NC

In a week where Hillary Clinton spiked in the national polls,  she also gained ground in many battleground states and as a result the Electoral race.

Here are the recent polls that have impacted the forecast:

  • NC Poll Trump +4 moves  state from lean D to tossup
  • 2 MI Polls (Clinton +9, Clinton +10)  moves state from lean D to likely D
  • 2 PA Polls (Clinton +4 and Clinton +13) moves the state from lean D to likely D
  • NH Poll (Clinton +15) moves state to likely D
  • 3 GA Polls (Trump +4, tie, Clinton +3) moves state from lean R to tossup

The above moved the forecast from the previous 305-233 Clinton to the current 312-226 Clinton.  The 86 point lead is the largest since 7/6.

Other polls during the period:

  • OK Poll (Trump +24) confirms state as solid R
  • NV Poll (Clinton +1) confirms state as tossup
  • FL Poll (Clinton +4) confirms state as tossup

Here’s a trend of the forecast:

electoral trend 8-6-16

 

Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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