For the second straight week Hillary Clinton’s odds reached a new high up from 70.1% to 72.2%.  She is up 10% in the last two weeks.

Donald Trump’s odds mirrored that change as he was down 2.2% to 23.1%.  This is the lowest he has been since the beginning of May.  Trump’s campaign has been resilient in past drops: beginning of February (lost Iowa caucus to Cruz), beginning of April (Cruz wins Wisconsin) and end of June (Pre RNC speculation of Republican alternatives to Trump).  We’ll see if he bounces back after these past two weeks.

Here is a full list of the odds:

Looking into the odds at www.predictit.org for the House and Senate, It appears that we are headed for a split government.

The Democrats have a slight edge to win the Senate: 49.5% Democrats win vs. 28.2% Republicans win and a 22.3% chance the senate is 50/50.

The Republicans are very likely to maintain control of the House with an 84.0% chance.

The fact that Clinton has such high odds of winning the presidency, and the Republicans have such a high chance of keeping the House results in low odds for either party to win all three.  Currently the Democrats have a slightly better chance (21.0%) vs. the Republicans (19.0%).  This is due to their slight edge in winning the Senate.  It does mean that there is a 60.0% chance that neither party has all three.

Click here fora state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

 

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