Updated Weekly Odds: Trump Reverses 4 Week Downward Trend but Still Trails Clinton by More Than 2 to 1 Margin

 

Donald Trump was able to reverse a four week trend of declines this week. The improvement may be from Hillary Clinton faltering rather than Trump improving.

Trump’s odds improved by 0.7% to 26.0%.  That is the highest he has been in the last three weeks.  He still trails by 40.4%, which is the closest he has been to Clinton in the last four weeks.

Trump’s improvement is most likely a result of Clinton’s drop.  The news cycle this week was filled with the Benghazi Report, the E-mail probe, as well as Bill Clinton’s meeting with Loretta Lynch.  Clinton dropped by 0.9% to 66.4%.  That is her lowest in four weeks.

Not all of Clinton’s drop went to Trump.  Bernie Sanders’ chances showed a small sign of life.  Anytime Benghazi or the e-mail probe gets coverage, Sanders’ odds pick up.  He was up 0.2% to 3.0%, the highest he has been in three weeks.

Here are the full odds:

7-2 Pres Odds

 

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