For the fifth straight week, Donald Trump has closed the lead on Hillary Clinton.  This week Trump was up 2.5% to 33.7%, his all time high (previous was 32.9% at the end of May).

Conversely Hillary Clinton dropped for the fifth straight week  from 64.1% to 62.2%, her lowest in 8 weeks. She has declined the last three weeks.

“Others” which include official candidates Jill Stein and Gary Johnson as well as Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan, Joe Biden, and Bernie Sanders, continued to drop as a group.  They are now at 4.1% from 4.7% the previous week.

Donald Trump has passed Hillary Clinton in most recent national polls.  As an example, here’s a daily trend of the USC/LATimes poll (election.usc.edu)

Why has that national poll lead not translated to the odds?  That is probably due to the fact that the national polls are more reflective of the popular vote while betting odds are more reflective of the electoral college.  Clinton continues to have an easier “Electoral map” than Trump, although that gap has been closing as well.  Click here for a state by state electoral forecast of the elections.  This will be updated tomorrow with post DNC polls.

Here’s the full standings:

Click here for a state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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