A total of 12 state polls have been released the last three days, many of which were battleground states.

The two polls that impacted the forecast were OH and NH.

Ohio was thought to be a tossup and battleground state, but the latest poll showed Clinton leading by 4.  This is on top of the previous two polls showing Clinton +5 and Clinton +2.  That was enough to move the state from tossup to lean D.  This is significant as OH has a fairly large 18 electoral votes.

New Hampshire has also been trending to Clinton.  After a tie near the end of May, the last two polls have been Clinton +4 and Clinton +5.  That was enough to move it from tossup to lean D.  NH only has 4 electoral votes.

This increased Clinton’s lead from 76 to 88 (313-225).  It’s her largest lead since the middle of May.

 

Other polls released included:

• 6/27 AR Trump +11 confirms state as solid R
• 6/27 TX Trump +8 confirms state as solid R
• 6/28 WI Clinton +8 confirms state as likely D
• 6/28 AZ 2 polls  Clinton +5 and Trump +4 confirms tossup
• 6/28 IA Clinton +2 confirms tossup
• 6/28 PA Clinton +4 confirms state as lean D
• 6/29 NH Clinton +5 confirms state as lean D
• 6/29 NC Clinton +2 confirms state as tossup
• 6/29 FL Clinton +4 confirms state as lean D

Here’s a trend of the forecast

 

Click here fora state by state forecast of the elections

Click here for running list of forecast changes

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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