With the primaries over, the state polls have been few and far between.
The biggest change to the forecast came as a result of a Florida Poll showing Trump +1. Previous polls had Clinton +1 and +3. This was enough to move the state from lean D to a tossup.
The other poll causing a small change is the first CT poll showing Clinton +5. That moves the state from solid D to likely D.
This moves the forecast from 301-237 Clinton down to 293-245 Clinton. Trump has cut Clinton’s lead at the start of May (108) by more than half (currently at 48)
There were two other polls:
- PA poll with Clinton +1 keeps it lean D
- WI poll with Clinton +9 keeps it likely D
Click here fora state by state forecast of the elections
Click here for running list of forecast changes
Click here for results from last 5 elections
Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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