There have been 4 national polls with Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, and Gary Johnson in both May and so far in June.
When we average those polls we see:
- Clinton improving from 40 in May to 42 in June
- Trump decreasing from 39 in May to 36 in June
- Johnson increasing from 7 in May to 10 in June
On average, Clinton moved from a +1 to a +5.5 so far in June over Trump.
Perhaps this shouldn’t be a surprise as May was the month Trump clinched the nomination, while June is the month where Clinton and Johnson clinched it.
It will be interesting to see what happens the second half of June which will reflect the tragedy in Orlando.
Here’s the results by poll:
Click here fora state by state forecast of the Presidential elections
Click here for running list of forecast changes
Click here for results from last 5 Presidential elections
Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates
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